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Premier League final day live on Sky: Arsenal's party, Tottenham's battle, Pep Guardiola's Man City goodbye

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Can Spurs avoid unthinkable relegation?

Tottenham vs Everton, live on Sky Sports Main Event

Tottenham's ever-present Premier League status is at stake on Sunday.

There are nine different final-day outcomes across the final-day games involving Spurs and West Ham - but only one scenario sends the club to the Championship, and that is if Roberto De Zerbi's side lose at home to Everton and West Ham beat Leeds at home.

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The odds are nearly 90 per cent in Tottenham's favour for survival, but this is Spurs, and their fans will be fearing the worst.

What will heighten those nerves is Tottenham's abysmal home record. Winless in their last 10 home league matches and having won just twice at home in the league this season (D6 L10), the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has become a place of dread and fear. The anxiety on Sunday will be like nothing ever seen before in N17.

With Spurs starting the day two points above 18th-placed West Ham and having a far superior goal difference over the Hammers, Tottenham only need a point to guarantee their safety against Everton.

When these two sides last met in late October, Spurs eased past the Toffees 3-0 at the Hill Dickinson Stadium to sit third in the Premier League and just five points behind leaders Arsenal.

It is a position that seems scarcely believable now.

In the space of seven months, Spurs have had three different head coaches, lost six games in a row for the first time in the club's history and have been on a 15-match winless league run.

Yet the worst could still come, with a first relegation in 49 years looming.

Make no mistake, this is Tottenham's biggest game in recent history. The future of the club is on the line. Relegation is simply unthinkable.

Declan Olley

Arsenal to get the party started

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal, live on Sky Sports Premier League

The waiting is nearly over. On Sunday, Arsenal will get their hands on the Premier League trophy for the first time in 22 years.

It will be a day of celebration in London, with Mikel Arteta's side playing their first match since they were crowned champions on Tuesday night. Sunday's images will be played around the world - and will last for generations.

The celebrations will start before the match itself, with Crystal Palace expected to give Arsenal a guard of honour before kick-off. That moment will go down nicely for Eberechi Eze - in his first game back at Selhurst Park since leaving Palace for Arsenal last summer.

The game itself has little meaning - with both sides expected to rotate heavily and give their big stars a rest. Both teams have huge European finals next week - Palace have the Europa Conference League final on Wednesday, before Arsenal take on PSG in next weekend's Champions League final.

But it will be a different story at full-time. Oliver Glasner will wave goodbye to Selhurst Park before he departs Palace this summer. Then Arsenal captain Martin Odegaard will lift the Premier League trophy.

And just like on Tuesday night, the red half of north London will go into party mode. If neighbours Spurs end up getting relegated that afternoon, there will be even more to celebrate from an Arsenal perspective.

Sam Blitz

Guardiola's emotional goodbye to Man City

Man City vs Aston Villa, live on Sky Sports Action

Man City meet Aston Villa with virtually nothing to play for on the final day. Man City are guaranteed second by quite some distance and Villa nearly assured of fourth, albeit they can still be caught by Liverpool on goal difference. In terms of jeopardy, though, the game ranks low.

Where this occasion holds its significance is over the great Pep Guardiola, confirmed to be leaving Man City after a magical decade in charge.

All the signs were there that the end was nigh.

The nostalgic tinge to his press conferences, the animated celebrations, even his casual attire - like mufti day at school when term is coming to a close. Enzo Maresca, Pep's supposed successor, is reported to already be making plans with sporting director Hugo Viana, looking towards a future with the intention of continuing the cycle of success Guardiola started.

And so this is much less game, more jamboree. A swansong. A last dance. At some point some players will probably turn up and a kick a football about in the sunshine.

But really this will be a chance for one of the Premier League's greatest, most decorated to bask in the adulation he deserves. The Etihad will be in peak party mode despite narrowly missing out on the Premier League title to Arsenal this week. A domestic cup double is not exactly a bad way to bow out.

Pep has already proven himself to be the ultimate winner; all that is left to do is celebrate his success.

Laura Hunter

West Ham praying for a miracle

West Ham vs Leeds, live on Sky Sports Football

West Ham will need the football gods to be looking down on them on Sunday.

For the most part, their own Premier League survival is out of their hands and the aim is simple - they need to win to give themselves any chance of staying up and relegating Tottenham.

This moment has been a long time coming. West Ham have been flirting with relegation, but perhaps a drop into the Championship with a squad clearout, new manager and new direction might be just what the club needs.

Leeds have done well on the road recently too. They are unbeaten in their last seven in the Premier League away from home, drawing six - which would not be enough for the Hammers to stay up.

The memories of their dramatic FA Cup tie at the London Stadium from April will also be fresh. West Ham scored twice in injury time to force extra time, although Leeds ultimately won on penalties.

West Ham will be hoping the game swings in their favour this time round.

Charlotte Marsh

Will Salah and Robertson get their Liverpool farewells?

Liverpool vs Brentford, live on Sky Sports+

All eyes will be on the Liverpool team sheet at 2.45pm on Sunday to see if both Mohamed Salah and Andy Robertson take on Brentford in what should be the duo's final appearances for the club.

'Should', as it will be up to head coach Arne Slot to make the final call for a fixture which, although highly unlikely, could yet result in the Reds missing out on Champions League football next season.

That would take a strange set of results, including Liverpool losing to the Bees and Bournemouth winning at Nottingham Forest, as well as a six-goal swing in goal difference

But Salah's recent criticism of the club's style of play under Slot, on the back of his attack of the Dutchman in December, could see him benched for his Liverpool farewell, while Robertson has not started the previous two games having mostly served as Milos Kerkez's backup all season.

Some have called on Slot to make an example of Salah - back to full fitness now after a recent hamstring injury - and play his strongest XI with next season in mind, which would also mean Kerkez getting the nod over Robertson.

But with the Liverpool boss also under mounting pressure himself after an underwhelming title defence, just how would that go down with the Anfield faithful?

Rich Morgan

Brighton-Man Utd script flips as Seagulls aim for Europe

Brighton vs Man Utd, live on Sky Sports Tennis

This very fixture took place on the final day of the season two years ago, and it was Man Utd who needed to win and for results to go their way for their European hopes. This time, it's the Seagulls' turn.

Man Utd can't go any higher or lower than third. This is as meaningless an end-of-season game as you can get for them. However, Brighton's future is all to play for.

The odds are slim, but there is a scenario where sixth place is enough for a place in next season's Champions League. And that could belong to Fabian Hurzeler’s men if they win and Bournemouth lose to Nottingham Forest, owing to the Seagulls’ superior goal difference.

They can’t worry too much about that. They need to focus on getting the job done themselves. And history is on their side. Brighton have come out on top in three of the last four meetings at the Amex between these two sides.

It wouldn’t be the ideal end of Michael Carrick's initial half-season spell in charge, but he is already guaranteed to stay on having signed on until 2028. With nothing to play for, he may choose to rotate his side. And given the question marks surrounding the depth of the Man Utd squad, that could play into Brighton's hands.

Callum Bishop

Can Sunderland finish above Newcastle?

Sunderland vs Chelsea, live on Sky Sports+

While Sunderland are still in the hunt for a European finish, they will also be hoping to get one over on their local rivals by finishing above them in the Premier League table.

The Black Cats are 10th, two points above Eddie Howe's side. Sunderland have not finished above the Magpies since the 2016/17 season, when Sunderland were 20th in the Premier League and Newcastle won the Championship.

Regis Le Bris' team still have the chance to finish in seventh, although would need to win their game and hope Brighton and Brentford both lose. They have not finished in the position since 2000/01, with their best Premier League finish since then coming in 2010/11, when they were 10th.

A home win would also see Chelsea drop out of European contention in what has been the most turbulent of seasons. The will need to arrest a poor run of form away from home too, having not won any of their last four games on the road in all competitions.

They too need three points to ensure they are playing some form of European football next season under Xabi Alonso.

Charlotte Marsh

Cherries fans will have one eye on Anfield & Etihad

Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth, live on Sky Sports+ and Sky One

Bournemouth will have all eyes on both the Etihad and Anfield on Sunday as they look to seal an unlikely spot in next season's Champions League in what is also Andoni Iraola's final game in charge.

And that is because Aston Villa's Europa League win in midweek has opened the door for a sixth qualification spot in Europe's premier club competition next season, but crucially only if Unai Emery's side finish fifth.

For that to happen, Villa must lose at Man City and Liverpool must also beat Brentford at Anfield, while the Cherries themselves will need a point in their clash at Nottingham Forest to be guaranteed to finish in sixth - unless Brighton fail to beat Man Utd at home.

So it will be an afternoon for Bournemouth fans to have the Sky Sports app downloaded as they learn their European fate.

A final Fulham game for Silva?

Fulham vs Newcastle, live on Sky Sports+

Fulham host Newcastle on Sunday, with both sides' hopes of European football having recently come to an end.

There is a feeling of uncertainty among the Craven Cottage faithful, who continue to wonder whether they will be seeing Marco Silva in the dugout come the start of next season.

With reports of a move to Benfica persisting, Silva's deal is up this summer, having established Fulham as a top-flight side since winning promotion from the Championship in 2022.

Victory would see Silva's men equal a club record for most Premier League wins (15) in a season. But with just two league victories in their last nine, and having failed to score in seven of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Fulham seem to be closing out the year with a whimper.

Alongside the Silva saga, there are the impending departures of their two top scorers this year - Harry Wilson and Raul Jimenez - so it's easy to see why there's a sense of unease among the fanbase.

A win might just lift the mood ahead of a big summer. But it's far from a guarantee against a Newcastle side looking to avoid a lowest league finish (11th) since their 2021 takeover.

Adam Howarth

One final battle left for Burnley and Wolves

Burnley vs Wolves, live on Sky Sports+

Come Monday morning, Burnley and Wolves will be breathing a sigh of relief.

The managerless Clarets are 11 league games without a victory and Rob Edwards' side have won just three times all season. Relegation was confirmed long ago and the misery will finally be over.

There is one last fight for both, though: to avoid finishing bottom of the pile.

Wolves have been relegated from the Premier League twice and finished 20th on both occasions, while Burnley have dropped four times, but twice in 18th and twice in 19th.

Based on last season, finishing 19th is worth £2.5m more than finishing 20th. A drop in the ocean in Premier League terms, but a sum not to be sniffed at nonetheless.

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Spurs vs Everton LIVE! Premier League match commentary, updates, team news and score - live on Sky Sports

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Cristian Romero: Roberto De Zerbi says 'not all leaders are the same' with Spurs captain set to miss relegation decider vs Everton

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Cristian Romero: Roberto De Zerbi says 'not all leaders are the same' with Spurs captain set to miss relegation decider vs Everton - Sky Sports
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Roberto De Zerbi says "not all leaders are the same" after being quizzed on captain Cristian Romero's decision to fly to Argentina instead of attending Tottenham's game against Everton with their Premier League survival at stake.

Spurs are 17th in the table, two points ahead of West Ham with a superior goal difference, ahead of hosting the Toffees on Sunday, live on Sky Sports.

Reports have since emerged that Romero, who was not present for the defeat to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, would not be in attendance after flying to Argentina to watch boyhood club Belgrano face River Plate in a title decider on Sunday instead.

When asked about the situation ahead of facing Everton, De Zerbi said: "Sometimes, not all the leaders are the same. Ben Davies spoke with me and asked to stay today to work with us. Tomorrow, we sleep in the hotel.

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"He wanted to stay with the team and team-mates. Romero is preparing for the World Cup with an injury. For me, nothing changed.

"Then we have to think, everything is for the best future of Tottenham."

Romero has been sidelined since April with a knee injury and has been ruled out for the season.

De Zerbi was then quizzed on how the decision to allow Romero to leave the country was reached: "He spoke with the medical staff. Together, they decided to go to Argentina to complete rehab with Argentinian medical staff.

"We spoke last week. With me, he has shown he wants to stay with us. I want to be clear, I am not stupid. If I understand that there is a player who thinks for himself before the club, I cannot be the same Roberto.

"With Romero, I can't say nothing. With me, in my time, he has been correct at the beginning until now."

De Zerbi understands Romero criticism but unsure on future

Romero has received widespread criticism from the fanbase for the decision to leave the country while the club is in such a perilous position.

"100 per cent I understand," De Zerbi continued when frustration from supporters was raised in the press conference.

"I don't know. Cristian is a top player and with me, he was a top guy. When I say top guy, it is because I am certain what I am seeing."

The Argentina defender has regularly been linked with a move away from the club since his arrival in 2022 but signed a new contract, committing his future until 2029, last August following the Europa League victory against Manchester United in Bilbao.

Has Romero played his last game for Spurs?

The latest strain on the relationship between the captain and fanbase has led to doubts emerging regarding his future as we approach the summer transfer window.

"For the future, I don't know," De Zerbi said on whether Romero had played his final game for the club "It is a crucial game for a fans and our club. I don't want answers on Romero.

"My focus is on Djed Spence, Kolo Muani and Richarlison [and more]. We have to play with blood, character and spirit because it is a final.

"They played a great final last season and they won a trophy. Maybe there was a bonus. After tomorrow, there is not a trophy or a bonus, there is something more important, the future and the history of the club. The pride of the players and the dignity of everyone of us.

"For that, I can't lose energy thinking of the next season. I will repeat, I am not stupid."

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Premier League predictions and best bets: David Moyes to save West Ham again, by relegating Spurs

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Our football betting expert Jones Knows offers his insight ahead of the final weekend of the Premier League season.

Brighton vs Manchester United, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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The final day of the Premier League season has a history of producing goals.

If you were backing the over 1.5 goals line in the last 110 final day games, you're working at an 86 per cent strike rate with the overall goals per-game average at 3.36.

Meanwhile, in five of those 11 campaigns, 36 goals or more were scored on this final day and that's relevant because Sky Bet do offer that as a market on their specials page. They are dangling 3/1 about the prospect which has a great balance of being a really fun bet to follow and being on the right side of the value fence.

Play Super 6 to win £250,000!

This game should help that bet go close in what should be a goal heavy game where Brighton need to win and hope that Bournemouth lose to Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa lose at Man City and Liverpool beat Brentford to have a chance of qualifying in sixth for the Champions League.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Final day to have 36 or more goals scored (3/1 with Sky Bet)

Burnley vs Wolves, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports

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This one probably won't be troubling the Super Sunday producers when plotting where the drama will be on Sunday but there is a niche group of people, including me, who are holding a Burnley to finish bottom ticket at 3/1 and will be following every moment of this one.

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Wolves have to win. Anything else and they're propping up the entire Premier League table come 6pm on Sunday.

For a player prop, the shots averages rise by about 2.1 per game on the final day based on 10 years of data and Yerson Mosquera has a very healthy shots output for a centre-back. He's hit the two or more line in two of his last three starts. It's 10/11 with Sky Bet to go in again.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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There's real final-day exhibition match vibes here where everyone involved just wants to get through the afternoon with smiles intact and hamstrings preserved.

Palace are preparing for the biggest game in their history on Wednesday night with a first-ever European final looming.

The same can be said for Arsenal.

Mikel Arteta's Arsenal transformation is complete

The title has already been secured. The champagne has been sprayed. And with a Champions League final just around the corner, Mikel Arteta's priority will simply be maintaining rhythm without inviting unnecessary risk.

That usually creates the perfect storm for a strangely passive football match.

Almost 200,000 Super 6 players are backing Arsenal to win 2-0

Historically, the final day produces fewer cards than any other round of Premier League fixtures. Across recent seasons, the average total drops to just 2.8 cards per game - around 0.7 lower than the standard rate. And when you layer in these very specific circumstances, the case for a low-card affair becomes extremely strong.

Under 1.5 total match cards at Evens with Sky Bet sounds skinny on paper but context is king. This has all the makings of a referee's easiest afternoon of the season.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Fulham vs Newcastle, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports

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Backing Marco Silva's team at this stage of the season has become a dangerous game.

Fulham's April and May record under Silva raises some serious concerns. They've lost 13 of their last 23 Premier League matches played across those months, developing a frustrating habit of fading badly once the campaign drifts towards its conclusion. The draw at Wolves last weekend was a clear pointer of that.

There's more than a hint of "on the beach" syndrome about them.

Newcastle are the bet at 13/10 with Sky Bet for the away win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2

Liverpool vs Brentford, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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Liverpool's final day at Anfield has the potential to descend into one of those basketball-style shootouts where structure disappears after about 20 minutes and everyone just starts trading punches.

That suits Brentford perfectly.

The equation is simple for the Bees: win or the dream of sneaking into the top eight and grabbing a Conference League place is over.

Final days often produce inflated goal numbers and although Liverpool can be devastating going forward at Anfield there have been vulnerabilities defensively all season. They have conceded 55 goals in the league this season - their most in a 38-game Premier League campaign.

Dango Ouattara catches the eye in the goalscorer markets at 3/1 with Sky Bet.

He's quietly pieced together an excellent campaign with eight league goals and already has form against Liverpool having scored in the reverse fixture. His direct running from wide positions looks a particularly dangerous weapon against a Liverpool side that can leave space down the channels when games become open.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Manchester City vs Aston Villa, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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The Etihad is expected to be in full celebration mode as City potentially wave goodbye to two iconic figures of their modern era in Bernardo Silva and perhaps even Pep Guardiola. If this is Guardiola's farewell, emotion will dominate the narrative far more than tactical edge or intensity.

Villa also arrive in circumstances where competitive sharpness could easily be compromised. A historic Europa League success followed by open-top bus celebrations will be draining. It's notoriously difficult to reset.

So, this points towards a subdued game.

That's why the cards angle jumps off the page.

Final-day matches consistently produce lower card counts than the league average and this fixture ticks every box for a low-aggression game state. Under 1.5 cards should land at 9/5 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 4-1

Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports

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If results elsewhere fall into place, Bournemouth could complete one of the stories of the season by qualifying for the Champions League. I'm expecting them to fully embrace the occasion rather than freeze under it.

And when thinking about betting on Bournemouth, it's impossible not to focus on Junior Kroupi.

At 11/8 with Sky Bet to score anytime, the price looks generous considering the level he's operating at right now. His strike against Manchester City wasn't just another goal - it underlined what an extraordinary debut Premier League season he's producing. Thirteen league goals as a teenager is remarkable company to keep. In fact, only Lamine Yamal has scored more goals as a teenager across Europe's major leagues this season.

That tells you everything about the scale of Kroupi's emergence. He can score in an away win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-3

Sunderland vs Chelsea, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports

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Both teams still have European qualification dangling in front of them and, crucially, neither side can really afford to play cautiously. A draw could easily prove useless depending on results elsewhere, which should create the kind of stretched, transitional football that makes final Sundays so entertaining.

Sunderland deserve enormous credit for even being in this position. Their fearlessness at home has carried them through the season and the Stadium of Light should be absolutely bouncing for this one.

That's why the shots markets appeal.

Noah Sadiki stands out at 7/2 with Sky Bet to register two or more shots. The numbers support it. He's recorded at least one shot in each of his last five home appearances, producing seven attempts in total across that run. More importantly, his role naturally suits chaotic game states because he arrives late into attacking areas rather than operating as a fixed midfielder.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Tottenham vs Everton, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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Tottenham are one point from safety. Avoid defeat and they survive. Lose and the door swings wide open for the biggest shock relegation in Premier League history depending on what happens at West Ham.

And standing in their way? David Moyes.

The irony is magnificent really. Moyes, the man who stabilised West Ham and dragged them away from relegation trouble more than once, now has the opportunity to save them all over again - this time by beating Tottenham with Everton and potentially sending Spurs down instead.

Eze's Crystal Palace return and the players who could decide the fight for survival

Moyes has built a career on thriving in emotionally charged matches where organisation and discipline matter more than flair. If Spurs become nervy, Everton are perfectly capable of turning this into a deeply uncomfortable afternoon through set-pieces, direct play and slowing the rhythm whenever possible. Spurs are just too short at odds-on. The play must be Everton to win at 29/10 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

West Ham vs Leeds, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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West Ham's survival hopes are slim on the final day but at 5/1 with Sky Bet the market might just be underestimating how realistic that scenario is.

The equation is straightforward enough. West Ham must beat Leeds and then hope Everton do them a favour against Tottenham.

This West Ham side are flawed but they are absolutely built to attack. That's where the quality lies. With Jarrod Bowen, Crysensio Summerville and Taty Castellanos leading the line.

Across their last 12 home games, West Ham have averaged 1.7 goals per game from a strong expected-goals process of 1.85 xG per 90. They create chances consistently at the London Stadium and against a Leeds side with nothing tangible left to play for, opportunities should arrive again.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

Jones Knows' best bet...

What's next?

Already thinking about the 2026/27 Premier League season?

There's a World Cup to fit in first - follow live blogs of every game on the Sky Sports App - but the key dates are locked in for next term, when Sky Sports will once again show at least 215 live Premier League games.

Here's your summer diary:

June 11: World Cup starts - day-by-day fixture list

June 14: Scotland's opener vs Haiti (2am)

June 15: Summer transfer window opens

June 17: England's opener vs Croatia (9pm)

June 19: Premier League fixtures released (10am)

July 19: World Cup final

August 22-23: Premier League opening weekend

August 27: Champions League league phase draw

August 31: Transfer Deadline Day

September 8-10: Champions League matchday 1

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Premier League predictions and best bets: David Moyes to save West Ham again, by relegating Spurs

Submitted by daniel on
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Premier League predictions and best bets: David Moyes to save West Ham again, by relegating Spurs - Sky Sports
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Our football betting expert Jones Knows offers his insight ahead of the final weekend of the Premier League season.

Brighton vs Manchester United, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

Got Sky? Watch Premier League games LIVE on your phone📱

No Sky? Get Sky Sports or stream with no contract on NOW📺

The final day of the Premier League season has a history of producing goals.

If you were backing the over 1.5 goals line in the last 110 final day games, you're working at an 86 per cent strike rate with the overall goals per-game average at 3.36.

Meanwhile, in five of those 11 campaigns, 36 goals or more were scored on this final day and that's relevant because Sky Bet do offer that as a market on their specials page. They are dangling 3/1 about the prospect which has a great balance of being a really fun bet to follow and being on the right side of the value fence.

Play Super 6 to win £250,000!

This game should help that bet go close in what should be a goal heavy game where Brighton need to win and hope that Bournemouth lose to Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa lose at Man City and Liverpool beat Brentford to have a chance of qualifying in sixth for the Champions League.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Final day to have 36 or more goals scored (3/1 with Sky Bet)

Burnley vs Wolves, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports

Got Sky? Watch Premier League games LIVE on your phone📱

No Sky? Get Sky Sports or stream with no contract on NOW📺

This one probably won't be troubling the Super Sunday producers when plotting where the drama will be on Sunday but there is a niche group of people, including me, who are holding a Burnley to finish bottom ticket at 3/1 and will be following every moment of this one.

Final Premier League table | Top scorers | Watch FREE PL highlights

Premier League 26/27 dates - when are fixtures released?

Window opens June 15 - follow Transfer Centre LIVE!

Wolves have to win. Anything else and they're propping up the entire Premier League table come 6pm on Sunday.

For a player prop, the shots averages rise by about 2.1 per game on the final day based on 10 years of data and Yerson Mosquera has a very healthy shots output for a centre-back. He's hit the two or more line in two of his last three starts. It's 10/11 with Sky Bet to go in again.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

Got Sky? Watch Premier League games LIVE on your phone📱

No Sky? Get Sky Sports or stream with no contract on NOW📺

There's real final-day exhibition match vibes here where everyone involved just wants to get through the afternoon with smiles intact and hamstrings preserved.

Palace are preparing for the biggest game in their history on Wednesday night with a first-ever European final looming.

The same can be said for Arsenal.

Mikel Arteta's Arsenal transformation is complete

The title has already been secured. The champagne has been sprayed. And with a Champions League final just around the corner, Mikel Arteta's priority will simply be maintaining rhythm without inviting unnecessary risk.

That usually creates the perfect storm for a strangely passive football match.

Almost 200,000 Super 6 players are backing Arsenal to win 2-0

Historically, the final day produces fewer cards than any other round of Premier League fixtures. Across recent seasons, the average total drops to just 2.8 cards per game - around 0.7 lower than the standard rate. And when you layer in these very specific circumstances, the case for a low-card affair becomes extremely strong.

Under 1.5 total match cards at Evens with Sky Bet sounds skinny on paper but context is king. This has all the makings of a referee's easiest afternoon of the season.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Fulham vs Newcastle, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports

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Backing Marco Silva's team at this stage of the season has become a dangerous game.

Fulham's April and May record under Silva raises some serious concerns. They've lost 13 of their last 23 Premier League matches played across those months, developing a frustrating habit of fading badly once the campaign drifts towards its conclusion. The draw at Wolves last weekend was a clear pointer of that.

There's more than a hint of "on the beach" syndrome about them.

Newcastle are the bet at 13/10 with Sky Bet for the away win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2

Liverpool vs Brentford, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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Liverpool's final day at Anfield has the potential to descend into one of those basketball-style shootouts where structure disappears after about 20 minutes and everyone just starts trading punches.

That suits Brentford perfectly.

The equation is simple for the Bees: win or the dream of sneaking into the top eight and grabbing a Conference League place is over.

Final days often produce inflated goal numbers and although Liverpool can be devastating going forward at Anfield there have been vulnerabilities defensively all season. They have conceded 55 goals in the league this season - their most in a 38-game Premier League campaign.

Dango Ouattara catches the eye in the goalscorer markets at 3/1 with Sky Bet.

He's quietly pieced together an excellent campaign with eight league goals and already has form against Liverpool having scored in the reverse fixture. His direct running from wide positions looks a particularly dangerous weapon against a Liverpool side that can leave space down the channels when games become open.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Manchester City vs Aston Villa, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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The Etihad is expected to be in full celebration mode as City potentially wave goodbye to two iconic figures of their modern era in Bernardo Silva and perhaps even Pep Guardiola. If this is Guardiola's farewell, emotion will dominate the narrative far more than tactical edge or intensity.

Villa also arrive in circumstances where competitive sharpness could easily be compromised. A historic Europa League success followed by open-top bus celebrations will be draining. It's notoriously difficult to reset.

So, this points towards a subdued game.

That's why the cards angle jumps off the page.

Final-day matches consistently produce lower card counts than the league average and this fixture ticks every box for a low-aggression game state. Under 1.5 cards should land at 9/5 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 4-1

Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports

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If results elsewhere fall into place, Bournemouth could complete one of the stories of the season by qualifying for the Champions League. I'm expecting them to fully embrace the occasion rather than freeze under it.

And when thinking about betting on Bournemouth, it's impossible not to focus on Junior Kroupi.

At 11/8 with Sky Bet to score anytime, the price looks generous considering the level he's operating at right now. His strike against Manchester City wasn't just another goal - it underlined what an extraordinary debut Premier League season he's producing. Thirteen league goals as a teenager is remarkable company to keep. In fact, only Lamine Yamal has scored more goals as a teenager across Europe's major leagues this season.

That tells you everything about the scale of Kroupi's emergence. He can score in an away win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-3

Sunderland vs Chelsea, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports

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Both teams still have European qualification dangling in front of them and, crucially, neither side can really afford to play cautiously. A draw could easily prove useless depending on results elsewhere, which should create the kind of stretched, transitional football that makes final Sundays so entertaining.

Sunderland deserve enormous credit for even being in this position. Their fearlessness at home has carried them through the season and the Stadium of Light should be absolutely bouncing for this one.

That's why the shots markets appeal.

Noah Sadiki stands out at 7/2 with Sky Bet to register two or more shots. The numbers support it. He's recorded at least one shot in each of his last five home appearances, producing seven attempts in total across that run. More importantly, his role naturally suits chaotic game states because he arrives late into attacking areas rather than operating as a fixed midfielder.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Tottenham vs Everton, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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Tottenham are one point from safety. Avoid defeat and they survive. Lose and the door swings wide open for the biggest shock relegation in Premier League history depending on what happens at West Ham.

And standing in their way? David Moyes.

The irony is magnificent really. Moyes, the man who stabilised West Ham and dragged them away from relegation trouble more than once, now has the opportunity to save them all over again - this time by beating Tottenham with Everton and potentially sending Spurs down instead.

Eze's Crystal Palace return and the players who could decide the fight for survival

Moyes has built a career on thriving in emotionally charged matches where organisation and discipline matter more than flair. If Spurs become nervy, Everton are perfectly capable of turning this into a deeply uncomfortable afternoon through set-pieces, direct play and slowing the rhythm whenever possible. Spurs are just too short at odds-on. The play must be Everton to win at 29/10 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

West Ham vs Leeds, Sunday 4pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!

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West Ham's survival hopes are slim on the final day but at 5/1 with Sky Bet the market might just be underestimating how realistic that scenario is.

The equation is straightforward enough. West Ham must beat Leeds and then hope Everton do them a favour against Tottenham.

This West Ham side are flawed but they are absolutely built to attack. That's where the quality lies. With Jarrod Bowen, Crysensio Summerville and Taty Castellanos leading the line.

Across their last 12 home games, West Ham have averaged 1.7 goals per game from a strong expected-goals process of 1.85 xG per 90. They create chances consistently at the London Stadium and against a Leeds side with nothing tangible left to play for, opportunities should arrive again.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

Jones Knows' best bet...

What's next?

Already thinking about the 2026/27 Premier League season?

There's a World Cup to fit in first - follow live blogs of every game on the Sky Sports App - but the key dates are locked in for next term, when Sky Sports will once again show at least 215 live Premier League games.

Here's your summer diary:

June 11: World Cup starts - day-by-day fixture list

June 14: Scotland's opener vs Haiti (2am)

June 15: Summer transfer window opens

June 17: England's opener vs Croatia (9pm)

June 19: Premier League fixtures released (10am)

July 19: World Cup final

August 22-23: Premier League opening weekend

August 27: Champions League league phase draw

August 31: Transfer Deadline Day

September 8-10: Champions League matchday 1

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