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Sky Sports' betting expert Lewis Jones:
The draw is one of those bets that just doesn't get any love.
No one's waking up on a Saturday morning desperate to stick the draw into their acca. It's not glamorous, it rarely gets you bragging rights in the pub at 5pm, and it feels an uncomfortable bet to place.
But that discomfort? That's often where the value lives.
Football, especially at Premier League level, is a low-scoring game built on fine margins. Add in the pressure, the fear of losing and what you often get is tight contests.
This season, more than most, is playing into that trend.
We're seeing draws land at a 27 per cent strike rate, the second highest in the last 15 years. Zoom in further and it gets even more compelling: 42 of the last 120 Premier League games have finished level. That's a hefty 35 per cent hit rate - and six of the 10 matches ended all-square last weekend.
Leeds, in particular, are becoming draw specialists. Seven of their last 13 games have ended level as they scrap for survival, often prioritising not losing over rolling the dice for a win.
The draw at 23/10 with Sky Bet might not be pretty. It won't be popular. But it just might be the smartest play on the board.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Leeds still have work to do in their race for survival. They're in a good spot but three games without a goal and just two wins in 12 have left them looking over their shoulders still.
A win tonight would be massive for them.
But Brentford arrive with Europe on their minds having won five of their last seven away games. A win would take them to within a point of Liverpool in fifth. Champions League qualification is a realistic target.
Teams dropping shortly. Let's go.
Everton have lost just one of their last eight Premier League home games against Chelsea (W5 D2), going down 1-0 in August 2022.
Following their 2-0 win in December, Chelsea are looking to complete the league double over Everton for the first time since 2016-17.
Everton have failed to score in 12 of their last 19 Premier League games against Chelsea, including each of the last four in a row. Overall they’ve drawn a blank in 28 Premier League meetings with the Blues, only doing so more against Manchester United (29).
Good afternoon everyone and welcome to our live blog coverage of the Premier League game between Everton and Chelsea.
Fresh from their Champions League exit, Chelsea are looking to press their claim for qualification for next season's competition. They find themselves sixth and need to improve.
That will be tricky at Everton who pushed Arsenal all the way last time out on the road and there should be a good atmosphere for this one back on home turf.
We will have team news, video and stats before kick-off at 5.30pm.
Chelsea defender Trevoh Chalobah is likely to be out for six weeks with an ankle injury.
The 26-year-old was stretchered off against Paris Saint-Germain following a tackle from Achraf Hakimi and images appeared to show the joint badly twisted.
The hamstring injury sustained by Reece James ahead of Tuesday’s game is “not serious” according to Rosenior but the captain will miss Saturday’s trip to Everton.
“Reece we will look more after the international break,” said Rosenior. “It’s not serious but something in his hamstring we will monitor after the international break.”
Filip Jorgensen’s groin injury, however, will require surgery.
Rosenior said defender Mamadou Sarr, whose error led to a goal in the sixth minute on Tuesday that effectively killed the last-16 tie against the European champions, remains in his thinking after a difficult night.
“It’s a lot for all of us,” he said. “We are expected to achieve in the now. I am so excited for his career, that is why he is here.
“You have to go through negative experiences sometimes to improve. He is a massive part of our plans.”
Everton manager David Moyes has called for more transparency from the Premier League in relation to the decision to fine Saturday’s opponents Chelsea for making secret payments to agents.
Critics felt the club’s £10.75m punishment over their dealings with unregistered agents and third-parties for transfers between 2011 and 2018 was overly lenient.
Comparisons were made to the sanctions applied to Everton, who were deducted 10 points, reduced to six on appeal, in February 2024 and a further two points three months later for breaching financial rules.
“I would actually like to hear a bit more about it,” said Moyes.
“I’m expecting more of the details and why.
“I don’t think they have explained it well enough in the reasoning what the fine was and why it was.
“I think it would be good if we heard a little bit more how they got to that decision of fine with Chelsea rather than a points deduction, for example.”
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Tottenham Hotspur host Nottingham Forest at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in a mammoth clash at the bottom of the Premier League on March 22 live on Sky Sports.
Spurs are 16th in the Premier League table on 30 points heading into the weekend fixtures, one point and one place ahead of Forest, who are outside the relegation zone only on goal difference.
Spurs are yet to win a league match in 2026 but ended their losing run under Igor Tudor with a 1-1 draw at Liverpool last weekend before beating Atletico Madrid 3-2 in the Champions League in midweek, although exiting 7-5 on aggregate.
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Forest are 17th in the table and have not won in the league since beating Brentford in January, but they progressed in the Europa League on Thursday.
The previous meeting between the two sides this season saw Forest win 3-0 against Spurs at the City Ground on December 14.
When is Spurs vs Nottingham Forest?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest in the Premier League takes place on Sunday March 22 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Kick-off is 2.15pm UK and Ireland time.
How to watch Spurs vs Nottingham Forest
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Premier League: Newcastle vs Sunderland, live on Sky Sports Premier League. Kick-off 12pm.
WSL: Brighton vs Liverpool, live on Sky Sports+. Kick-off 12pm.
Scottish Premiership: Dundee United vs Celtic, live on Sky Sports Football. Kick-off 12.30pm.
Premier League: Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest, live on Sky Sports Main Event. Kick-off 2.15pm.
Premier League: Aston Villa vs West Ham, live on Sky Sports Premier League. Kick-off 2.15pm.
Carabao Cup Final: Arsenal vs Manchester City, live on Sky Sports Football. Kick-off 4.30pm.
Spurs vs Nottingham Forest odds and score prediction
Sky Sports Lewis Jones...
Is this the biggest game in Tottenham's Premier League history?
Well, what we do know is that it will be full of tension played against the backdrop of high stakes. That should see a healthy card count on the table.
Xavi Simons has drawn 41 cards in his last three seasons in league football, one every 150 minutes. He's one of the best around for getting players booked. He's an exceptional mover with the ball and a great salesman when coming under contact.
He's going to be a key player for Forest to stop, and I'm going to back Elliott Anderson to pick up a card at 5/2 with Sky Bet: he's going to be in that area where Xavi likes to roam and is liable for a late challenge.
Only three players have made more tackles than Anderson in the Premier League this season, and he leads the way for cards this season for Forest, picking up eight across all competitions. The midfielder has been carded in two of his last four Premier League games under Vitor Pereira.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
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Tottenham goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario will undergo hernia surgery after Sunday's game against Nottingham Forest, with his potential absence opening the door for Antonin Kinsky to return following his Atletico Madrid horror show.
Spurs confirmed on Friday that Vicario will have a "minor procedure timed to have as minimal impact on the season as possible" and "it is hoped that he could return to action within the next month".
Sky Sports News understands he is available for selection in Sunday's crunch relegation six-pointer against Forest, live on Sky Sports.
It is also understood that the 29-year-old has been playing through the pain barrier for several weeks with the issue.
'Future on the line': Why Spurs' Forest clash is season-defining
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But the Italy international will face a race to be fit for Spurs' next game after Forest, which is against Sunderland on April 12, live on Sky Sports.
If Vicario fails to recover in time for that match at the Stadium of Light, then Kinsky could start after he was embarrassingly substituted after just 17 minutes in the 5-2 Champions League last 16 first-leg defeat at Atletico Madrid earlier this month.
Kinsky, who was taken off in Spain following two errors which saw Spurs go 3-0 down after just 15 minutes, failed to make this month's Czech Republic squad for their upcoming World Cup play-off campaign, meaning he will remain at Spurs for the March international break.
Vicario was also a notable absentee from the Italy squad announced on Friday for this month's international fixtures.
Spurs boss Igor Tudor faced the media later on Friday and confirmed there were no fresh injury problems, but the struggling Premier League club have now revealed Vicario's surgery ahead of Sunday's visit of 17th-placed Forest, who are only one point behind Tottenham.
What did Tudor say about Kinsky?
Last week, Tudor defended his man-management skills and revealed he hugged Kinsky after his early substitution in Madrid.
Tudor explained: "When you do that substitution after 15 minutes, the coach loses in both cases.
"First case, because you put him in so everyone says, 'why are you doing this? You killed the guy.' If you don't, you are taking risk to concede one or two more goals.
"I took the decision after thinking and if I needed to, I would do the same again. It was an act of helping to preserve the guy and to preserve the team.
"Why didn't I go to give him a hug? Because maybe he was angry. Maybe coaches do the things to avoid this scene and to get a situation worse than it was.
"Sometimes it is better to stay there and we hug each other at half-time. At half-time we speak and nothing [more], the situation happened there. It finished there."
Asked if he did give a shell-shocked Kinsky a hug at half-time, Tudor insisted: "Of course."
Tudor then backed Kinsky to have the "strength and quality" to bounce back.
Tudor: Maddison could return before end of season | 'Solanke fit for Forest'
Tudor revealed during Friday's press conference ahead of the Forest game that long-term absentee James Maddison could return from his ACL injury before the end of the season.
Maddison has not played a minute this campaign after sustaining a knee injury in pre-season.
Asked whether Maddison could return before the end of the season, he replied: "Yeah.
"Maddison's already doing interesting things with the ball, sprinting as well. I saw him, he's positive."
There was also good news regarding Dominic Solanke's availability for the match against Forest.
The striker had missed training on Friday but Tudor says he will be fit to face Forest at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium after he missed the midweek Champions League home win over Atletico Madrid.
The Croatian said: "Dom didn't train, but probably tomorrow he will train with the team and be available.
"He had a problem with his hip, so I think he'll be okay."
Spurs' absentee list has eased a little this week with the return of Lucas Bergvall and Destiny Udogie from injuries, and Mohammed Kudus and Rodrigo Bentancur could be next to return, with Tottenham hvaing a three-week break after Sunday's Forest game.
On Kudus' return, Tudor said: "I don't know, probably some part of things with the squad in maybe 10 days.
"I'm not sure, we need to check, but he's progressing very well already with the ball.
"Rodrigo as well, Maddison as well.
"We hope the medical staff make us some nice surprises in the next weeks - it would be very important to have them."
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Tottenham bowed out of the Champions League in the round of 16 with their heads held high following a 7-5 loss on aggregate to Atletico Madrid after a spirited 3-2 win at home in the second leg.
Igor Tudor's side faced an uphill battle following a humiliating 5-2 loss at the Estadio Metropolitano in the first leg but hopes of a comeback were sparked when Randal Kolo Muani capitalised on Spurs' strong start to head them into an early lead.
Julian Alvarez's equaliser dampened a crackling atmosphere at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium but a quickfire response from Xavi Simons, curling his effort in five minutes after his team conceded, restored belief for the home side once more.
As it happened | Teams | Stats
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Atletico goalkeeper Julian Musso was called upon a total of eight times to keep Spurs at bay as they pushed to reduce the deficit, until a glancing header from David Hancko sealed Spurs' fate.
Xavi would go on to double his tally with a late penalty to secure the win on the evening, Tudor's first as head coach of the club, but a chaotic first 20 minutes in the first leg ultimately left them with too much to do.
The performance, albeit short of what the club needed to progress into a quarter-final tie against Barcelona, is one Spurs can take confidence from.
Despite injury concerns mounting, a relegation battle bubbling away in the background and noise surrounding Tudor's future at the club ever present, the home side threatened, competed and entertained from the first whistle.
"A step in the right direction," was how Tudor described the point at Anfield on Sunday in his programme notes. Wednesday night was another one for his side.
Spurs will now be tasked with taking the same traits into Sunday's game against Nottingham Forest, who sit one point below them in the Premier League, in what could prove to be a decisive fixture in the race for survival in the top flight.
Tudor: A very good performance - I thank the fans
Tottenham boss Igor Tudor speaking to TNT Sports:
"The feelings are mixed of course. We are out, but it is a sensation of a very good team on the pitch. One very good performance from a lot of players.
"It was really nice that the fans recognised that the team did everything they could do. They were with us from the start and I thank them for that. It is a good direction as a team but we need to continue.
"It was important [to get the winning feeling back]. That is why I was angry about the counter-attack in the last minute. I understand the players, they wanted to score a goal.
"It was nice to at least take the victory."
Vicario: We fought hard against Atletico
Tottenham goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario speaking to TNT Sports:
"We fought hard. We did a lot of running - l think we are in a better physical place, we kept running until the last second.
"We need to show everything we can in the next game.
"Tonight was a game of moments. We were close to going over the edge. We had situations in the first half and we could have gone into the break 2-0.
"There are a lot of positives to take from every aspect and everyone. We showed what we need to show in every game.
"It gives us a lot of confidence and we are proud of what we did."
Spurs need to replicate Atletico performance vs Forest
Sky Sports' Patrick Rowe:
Tudor described Sunday's 1-1 draw against Liverpool as a step in the right direction - and so was this game
A first win since January and a first win for the head coach since being appointed as Thomas Frank's successor.
Yes, it was not enough to overcome the disaster that was the first leg but this was the exact performance Spurs needed ahead of Sunday's game against Nottingham Forest.
A spirited and attacking performance with the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium bubbling from minute one.
Play like that on Sunday with the home crowd on their side, alongside the returns of Lucas Bergvall, Destiny Udogie and Cristian Romero, and Spurs will give themselves every chance of securing a crucial win in the fight for survival.
It was not enough against Atletico but that performance could have a major influence on where this team finishes up come the end of the season.
Story of the match in stats...
Quarter-final draw in full