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Premier League predictions and best bets: Tottenham to punish creaking Crystal Palace

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Premier League predictions and best bets: Tottenham to punish creaking Crystal Palace - Sky Sports
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Our football betting expert Jones Knows called nine out of 10 match results correct last weekend. He is back to offer his insight...

Sunderland vs Leeds, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

There are certain grounds you simply can't ignore. The Stadium of Light has become a place where structure, energy and belief do the heavy lifting, and those qualities tend to travel very well through a season. It's now eight Premier League home games unbeaten, with five wins and three draws and that consistency tells you plenty about what kind of team they are.

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With key players away at AFCON, there's a temptation to downgrade Sunderland. But this is a side built on collective understanding and tactical clarity. Remove a few pieces and the structure still holds - as shown in their excellent performance at Brighton.

Leeds, meanwhile, have struggled badly on the road. Six defeats in eight away games paints a picture of a team that hasn't yet found a way to control matches outside familiar surroundings.

The market is disrespecting the influence of the Stadium of Light resulting in us being able to back Sunderland on the draw no bet at 10/11 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Sunderland draw no bet (10/11 with Sky Bet)

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports

Crystal Palace's defence is creaking. It's now 10 goals conceded in their last four games across all competitions. Before that, over the previous 12 matches they'd only shipped eight goals in total. The squad has been stretched beyond its limits and results are now suffering as such.

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Spurs have had an eight-day break since their last game - their longest gap between games this season. Thomas Frank is a process-focused, hands-on coach that needs training time to implement his ideas - something he's not had the luxury of this season. And although Frank's team have been one of the most impotent teams in the Premier League this season from an attacking perspective, there is quality in that forward line to feast on a Palace defensive process that is offering up more gifts than usual. The away win at 11/5 with Sky Bet is a touch generous.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Jones Knows' best bet:

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Tottenham have £150m to spend in January transfer window - Paper Talk

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Tottenham have £150m to spend in January transfer window - Paper Talk - Sky Sports
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The top stories and transfer rumours from Friday's newspapers...

PREMIER LEAGUE

Tottenham have a £150m transfer war chest available for the January window - The Sun

Manchester United and Liverpool are set to battle for Sheffield Wednesday left-back Yisa Alao - The Sun

Manchester United goalkeeper Andre Onana has indicated that he would be happy to join Trabzonspor permanently when his season-long loan ends - Daily Mirror

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Crystal Palace are likely to rival West Ham in signing Norway striker Jorgen Strand Larsen from Wolves in January - The Telegraph

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EUROPEAN FOOTBALL

Barcelona have cooled their interest in Marc Guehi after learning of his wage demands - Sport

Barcelona loanee Marcus Rashford is keen to stay at the club beyond this season - Sport

Bayern Munich are closely monitoring Cardiff City teenager Dylan Lawlor - Talksport

Tottenham Hotspur target Rayan has reportedly cut ties with his agent ahead of the January transfer window - Sport

Juventus are planning to use Jonathan David in a swap deal for Newcastle United star Sandro Tonali - Gazzetta dello Sport

SCOTTISH FOOTBALL

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Man Utd vs Newcastle - Live match updates

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Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle

Sky Sports' Gary Neville:

"That was a great chance."

Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle

It should be 1-0 to Man Utd. Newcastle will wonder how the Brazilian found himself in so much space.

Casemiro should be scoring that.

Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle

Sky Sports' Danyal Khan at Old Trafford:

"Amorim has truly given us a Christmas surprise!"

Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle

He sometimes plays further forward for Denmark - but this will be a very big test for him.

Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle

Sky Sports' Gary Neville:

"Manchester United have lined up differently than expected...

"We finally have a Ruben Amorim back four!

"It is a complete switch and I am not quite sure why you would warm up differently than what you would play."

Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle

Sky Sports' Adam Bate at Old Trafford:

"It looks a lot like a 4-2-3-1 for Manchester United. Dalot AND Dorgu on the right."

Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle

Shaw-Martinez- Heaven-Dalot

Man Utd 0-0 Newcastle

KICK OFF! We are underway at Old Trafford as Newcastle get things started. The crowd sound up well up for this. Game on!

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Team news reminder from Old Trafford

Here come the teams!

Both sets of players are making their way out at Old Trafford for the only Boxing Day fixture this Christmas.

Let's hope it is a classic. We're just a few minutes away from KO.

Amorim to join the club?

Manchester United have won all three of their Premier League Boxing Day games against Newcastle, with all three coming under different managers – 4-3 in 2012 (Ferguson), 3-1 in 2014 (van Gaal) and 4-1 in 2019 (Solskjaer).

Fernandes spotted...

Bruno Fernandes is at Old Trafford to watch his teammates in action against Newcastle United.

Keane: Man Utd need better than Casemiro in midfield

Sky Sports' Roy Keane:

"[Man] United need better. You need to be mobile, he has kept his head down and stuck at it.

"Maybe it was a shock to him in the Premier League but you need to be mobile."

Amorim: No excuses, we have to perform

Man Utd boss Ruben Amorim to Sky Sports:

"We are prepared. We know we have players out but there are no excuses. We need to perform well.

Lisandro Martinez starting as captain: We made a list at the beginning of the season, Lisandro was on that list. He is going to wear the armband but everyone needs to step up because Bruno is not here.

How to beat Newcastle: "We need to be physical. They need to feel uncomfortable. We need to be smart - we cannot lose the ball in our half when we are too exposed or open.

"We know what they want and we will try to do the opposite, but we also need to play with our strengths."

Five academy players on the bench: "They are ready to help the team. We have a short squad to give the kids an opportunity. They are really proud to be here. If we need, they will be on the pitch."

Exclusive interview: Mount speaks

Manchester United midfielder Mason Mount discusses overcoming setbacks, returning to his best form and World Cup hopes.

Mason Mount: Manchester United midfielder discusses overcoming setbacks, returning to his best form and World Cup hopes

Sky Sports

Jones Knows: Back Cunha from range

Sky Sports' betting expert Jones Knows previews Manchester United vs Newcastle:

With key attacking absences likely to affect Manchester United’s output, United will be looking towards Matheus Cunha to provide the creative and shooting threat.

Repeatable patterns in betting are something to respect and Cunha’s shooting profile is exactly that. No player since the start of last season has hit the target more often from outside the box than Cunha (31), which tells you this isn’t variance, it’s design. Even more encouraging, four of those outside-the-box shots on target have come in his last two games, highlighting current confidence and freedom in his role.

Away from home, Eddie Howe’s side concede 1.21 shots from outside the box per game across their last 30 away league matches, the third-most of any Premier League team. That’s a defensive concession profile that invites exactly the type of effort Cunha specialises in.

At Evens with Sky Bet for one or more Cunha shots on target from outside the box, you’re not asking for a goal, just a clean connection that troubles the goalkeeper from outside the area.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Matheus Cunha +1 shots on target from outside the box (Evens with Sky Bet)

What does history tell us...

Manchester United have lost four of their last five Premier League games against Newcastle (W1), as many as they had in their previous 38 against the Magpies (W25 D9).

Newcastle did the league double over Manchester United last season, including a 2-0 win in this exact fixture. They’ve not won consecutive visits to Old Trafford since March 1935, while they last won three in a row against the Red Devils in January 1922.

Carra: Woltemade is good but he's not Isak

Sky Sports' Jamie Carragher:

"He is different to Isak, he is almost a No 10. He probably should've got a hat-trick [vs Chelsea]. He has a lovely touch and has started well but he is not Isak."

On Anthony Gordon: "I think 18 months ago he was looking as good as any left-winger. It just hasn't happened for him in terms of kicking on.

"He was very close to moving on when Newcastle had PSR issues, I think to Liverpool. Whether that impacted him, I don't know. There is definitely a special player in there."

Howe on 'challenging' away form

Newcastle boss Eddie Howe to Sky Sports on poor away form:

"It has been challenging. There is no getting away from that. Only one way to respond and that is by winning as many games as we can. This is a tough assignment."

On Nick Pope returning to the squad:

"I don't think he has trained enough to start. He has done a couple of days with the team. This is the right decision for the team. We will evaluate it on a game-by-game basis."

Are Man Utd making progress under Amorim?

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Thomas Frank exclusive: Tottenham boss feels they are in a 'transition phase' but 'can create something very magical'

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Thomas Frank exclusive: Tottenham boss feels they are in a 'transition phase' but 'can create something very magical' - Sky Sports
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"I think we are in a transition phase, because yes, we are a Champions League club, but are we a Champions League club? We only qualified because we won the Europa League. We didn't qualify because we were one of the four or five best clubs in the Premier League last season. We finished 17th."

One win from their last eight Premier League games backs up Tottenham boss Thomas Frank's honest assessment of where his side are at right now.

Sitting 14th in the Premier League table, Spurs go to Crystal Palace on Sunday, live on Sky Sports, aiming to avoid a third straight defeat following losses to Nottingham Forest and Liverpool.

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A broadly unhappy fanbase, inconsistent results and toothless performances have increased the scrutiny on Frank.

But in an exclusive interview with Sky Sports ahead of this weekend's trip to Selhurst Park, the Dane explains why he is confident he can turn things around as he gives an assessment of his six-and-a-half months in charge of Tottenham...

How do you reflect on earning the chance to lead Spurs?

"I'm super happy for having the opportunity to get this challenge, this opportunity here at Tottenham. I think I earned it. I think, in a way, I deserve the opportunity, the challenge, which I'm very happy about.

"Of course, sometimes when you're in the tough moments, you're thinking, 'Oh', but I was pretty sure what I walked into, that it will not be straightforward - I was very aware of that.

"I'm an optimistic person, so I always believe in the good and that we can create something very magical here. I'm 100 per cent convinced that that will happen and we will do that.

"I also think I'm quite good at analysing situations and finding out where are we, what do we need to improve, what direction do we need to go.

"And with that said, I can also see this is, as I said a few times now, it's not a quick fix, unfortunately. This is a longer journey. That doesn't mean that in the longer journey that we don't need to win football matches, we have to, and hopefully a lot of them, and perform well and all that. But to get to where we want to get, it just takes time to build that."

So where are you at?

"Honestly, I think we are in a transition phase, because yes, we are a Champions League club, but are we a Champions League club? We only qualified because we won the Europa League. We didn't qualify because we were one of the four or five best clubs in the Premier League last season. We finished 17th. And now we need to compete in the Champions League while we're competing in the Premier League, which is the most difficult thing.

"The last time we did that was three years ago, when we finished eighth. That's reality. Something happened with the squad over those three years. Then the year after, with no Europe, some of the key players offensively were (James) Maddison, (Dejan) Kulusevski, Sonny (Heung-Min Son), who are not here anymore [Son has left club, while Maddison and Kulusevski are long-term injury absentees]. So that's just some of the reality.

"And then we need to build that competitive team that can compete every third or fourth day. And that's just an ongoing working process, no matter if we like it or not, to speak about it. That's what we're working very hard on every single day. I think we are building some of the bits behind the scenes that are good. So, for example, I think there is a very good win in how the coaching staff, performance staff, medical staff, are working together.

"I think Micky van de Ven has almost never looked better. Consistent, been available for every minute. Cuti [Cristian Romero] the same. Richarlison, the same. So that's three players who hadn't been as consistent in the last two or three years, so I think that's a massive win, but it's just a small story because we're not winning enough football matches. So all those small stories we need to add up and then make sure we can be competitive."

Do you think the scale of the challenge is bigger than people think?

"It depends what people think. The perception of us, of course, is that we are a top six club, which is the aim."

Top six club, definitely, but a top-six team is different, though?

"Yeah, I think that's fair to say. But that's what we're aiming for. We are almost halfway through the season. Learned a lot about the team, about the players. Also, playing every third or fourth day, how we do that and how we can make sure we become competitive? And that's why the expectations can be higher than where we maybe are right now, this moment in time. That can hopefully have changed in a good way towards the end of the season.

"But that doesn't change what I think is a massive task to get us to where we want to be on a consistent level. Because let's say, no matter if we finish in a good position - but it's to do it every year. That's the challenge, playing in Europe and finishing in the top six every year. That's the big challenge.

"Maybe it's a blip, that we finished eighth, fifth and seventeenth, just to understand the whole context, I think is very important."

Is building something at Tottenham different to what you've done in the past at Brentford and Brondby?

"It's different, but it's the same tools I would say you use to build something consistent. It is about building a top culture with all the right characters, with an elite mindset. It is being able to go every third and fourth day. That's the biggest thing we built. Every day, we try to get a little step further down the line. It's the same thing you need to do.

"Of course, there's more scrutiny, and there's more focus on the smallest step back, so one of the tools you definitely need to be aware of using is keeping the noise out. I do that, the coaching staff do that, the players do that, everyone around the club does that. I think that's a big thing.

"I think the players are very good in many ways. They're good people; they want the best. I don't think that's a problem anyway."

So what have you liked so far? And what is top of the to-do list to fix?

"I like the overall approach from players to want to improve and want to do well. For example, our improvement of the set pieces has gone from here [bottom] to here [top]. Clearly, they put the hard work in on something that you call the boring stuff, but they definitely understand the why. And the why is that if you want to be successful, you can't have a minus goal difference on set pieces. It's impossible. So I think that's a big win and also a big example of the buy-in from the players.

"And also, even though it's not consistent enough, I think we have more of what I would call a clean sheet mentality and understand when it's a game where we can't just run over teams and just win three or 4-0, but you need to do the other side of the game as well. And I think we see that more and more in different parts of the game.

"Then I think the biggest ongoing thing to work on is still the offensive part of the game. It's not that we haven't worked on it. And I said it's not that it hasn't been a big focus. I think we started the season quite well on it, then had a dip, and now I think we're on the up again, actually. So that's the biggest thing you can see. And the last bit is that ongoing fantastic performance, winning, competitive culture."

Is the coaching challenge of the football you need to produce at Tottenham different to what you had before?

"If you've seen my teams over the years, [they've] always played offensive football, always created top scorers, always scored a lot of goals, so that will also happen here.

"I think it's a couple of challenges, a little bit the time to train it. Hey, it is what it is. We do everything we can to get around it - clips, video, individual walkthrough, whatever it is. We use a week like we have now to work on it.

"And then I think the players also will develop and get better. And sometimes it's also a bit of who's available, because I also had a tough spell in Brentford, just as an example, when Ivan (Toney) was out, Bryan (Mbeumo) was out. I think (Yoane) Wissa was out as well, then we didn't score as many goals. That's just the way it is."

In a nutshell, is your challenge showing enough in the short-term to get the opportunity long-term?

"Yeah, I think that's fair. I think it doesn't work if you say, 'Ah, the pros are, by the way, are so good. We have so many nice underlying performance indicators, but by the way, we lost 15 games in a row'. It doesn't work like that, so we need to win, and we need to win, hopefully, a lot of football matches.

"But what I like is that we haven't had two bad performances in a row. Maybe we lost two games in a row, but not two bad performances. I think it's a big difference.

"We performed terribly against Arsenal, which is very bad. But we put in a very good performance against PSG, for example. As an example, bad performance against Nottingham Forest, but a good performance against Liverpool. I know we lost it, but that's what you need to look at. And that's a good indicator of how we bounce back, how we work with the players and the team. And I think that's signs of something going in the right direction."

What does 2026 hold for Tottenham? How do you make the next step?

"I think working very hard on that competitive culture every day, the small bits with the players, all the good habits - let's say winning habits - where we work very hard, where we have that attitude, comfortable, humble, where we use our togetherness to really work as a team and the passion to want to get better.

"So the path, as I say it, I think that's a big thing we work on very, very hard. And if we do that well, then I know we'll be more and more consistent. The challenge is we are playing a lot of games, and we're playing every three or four days, so that's a challenge.

"And then it also holds two transfer windows, which is also important. I said many times, I'm very happy with my squad. I'm very happy with the players, but I also think it's fair to say that we also need, over time, to do what we can to strengthen the squad."

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Alexander Isak injury: Liverpool striker set for lengthy absence after 'reckless' Micky van de Ven challenge, says Arne Slot

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Alexander Isak injury: Liverpool striker set for lengthy absence after 'reckless' Micky van de Ven challenge, says Arne Slot - Sky Sports
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Arne Slot has confirmed that Alexander Isak is set for a long spell on the sidelines with a broken leg after a "reckless" challenge from Micky van de Ven in Liverpool's win at Tottenham.

The Sweden striker underwent surgery on Monday.

"It is going to be a long injury, a couple of months," confirmed Liverpool head coach Slot in Tuesday's press conference before their match with Wolves. "That is a big, big disappointment for him and, as a result, also for us."

Isak sustained the injury when Van de Ven attempted to prevent him from scoring the opener in Liverpool's 2-1 win in north London, sliding into the striker and leaving him unable to celebrate as he immediately signalled for medical attention.

Van de Ven, meanwhile, has spoken for the first time about the incident, saying he was simply trying to block the shot and had no intention of injuring Isak.

"I did not want to injure him or do something to hurt him," the Spurs defender, speaking at the Junior Supporters' Christmas Party, told Sky Sports. "I just wanted to try to block the shot. It was a bit unlucky how his foot landed between my legs."

The Dutchman also revealed the pair have since been in contact: "I sent him a text after as I wanted to wish him all the best with his recovery and that is what I said to him and hopefully see him on the pitch very soon again. He really appreciated the message and texted me back."

The Liverpool head coach, though, was not happy with Van de Ven's challenge.

"This was for me a reckless challenge," Slot said. "I think I said a lot about the challenge of Xavi Simons (on Virgil van Dijk, for which he was sent off), which for me was completely unintentional. I don't think you will ever get an injury out of a tackle like that.

"The tackle of Van de Ven, if you make that tackle 10 times, I think 10 times there's a serious chance that a player gets a serious injury."

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However, Tottenham boss Thomas Frank hit back and defended his player, disagreeing with Slot's assessment of the challenge.

"I obviously disagree," Frank said ahead of the game against Crystal Palace.

"I think we are talking about a defender doing everything he can to avoid a goal. It's a transition so he's sprinting back in, the ball slides down the side and he does everything he can to make the block.

"Unfortunately Isak's planted his foot straight there and that makes it look worse than it is. I think that's a natural reaction for any defender. Put it this way, if my defenders don't do that, then I don't think they are true defenders.

"I think reckless challenges, you haven't seen one from Micky. He's a very fair and competitive player."

The Sweden international was sidelined for five games from October to November with a groin injury and the latest setback will only compound his disjointed start to life in Liverpool since completing his record-breaking £125m move from Newcastle this summer.

Isak has scored just three goals across 16 appearances in all competitions for Liverpool but Slot made the point that his levels were improving.

Report and highlights: Spurs 1-2 Liverpool

As it happened | Teams | Stats

'Simply impossible' for Isak to show his best

"It's been a really challenging and difficult period for him, I think," Slot added.

"You join a new club, usually when you join a new club - he was very excited of course as well - but you want to show immediately all the qualities you have, but that was simply impossible.

"Maybe no one understands, but if you haven't trained for three or four months on a serious level with the team, and you are playing in this league, you're not playing in, I don't know where, but in this league, you need to be on top of your game to impact a game of football.

"And that took, which we all knew, months before we could bring him in there, because there was no breathing, there were games, games, games. No time, hardly any time to train.

"So we always knew that it would take him time, and that's why he's so unlucky that he's now injured, because I think we all saw with this goal against West Ham, with this goal, that was he was closer and closer to the way he was last season at Newcastle."

Merson: Pressure will now be on Ekitike to keep producing

Sky Sports' Paul Merson:

"It turned out to be unlucky. Was it reckless? I don't know any manager who wouldn't want their centre half to make that tackle.

"He has to try his hardest to come across and block it. On another day, he might not get caught. He has to make that challenge. Fair play to Micky for texting him but at the same time, Slot would be disappointed if [Virgil] Van Dijk didn't make that challenge.

"It's a shame for Isak, but it is one of those things. He looked sharp and it was a great finish.

"I think it means Ekitike plays every week, it is going to be hard on him. He has been one of the successes for Liverpool this season.

"Now he has to carry it on and the pressure is on, week in and week out. He needs to keep on producing, but he has done well."

Analysis: Slot's attacking options dwindling

Sky Sports' Rich Morgan:

Isak missed four matches at the end of October and start of November with a groin injury which forced him off at half-time of the Champions League win over Eintracht Frankfurt.

He has started five out of nine since returning but any absence now, however lengthy, will be a blow with Mohamed Salah at the Africa Cup of Nations and Cody Gakpo not ready to return from a muscle injury until early in the new year.

It leaves Slot with just Hugo Ekitike, who has five goals in his last four games, and the little-used Federico Chiesa as his only senior forwards.

Unlike Isak, Ekitike has hit the ground running since moving to Anfield from Frankfurt for £79m last summer, scoring 11 times in 24 games in all competitions so far this season, including eight in the Premier League.

And now in Isak's injury-enforced absence, the 23-year-old has the opportunity to stake his claim as the champions' first-choice No 9 during a crucial run of fixtures.

Liverpool face Wolves, Leeds, Fulham and leaders Arsenal over the next two-and-a-half weeks that will shape their bid to finish in the top four.

Meanwhile, the Reds also begin their FA Cup campaign at home to Barnsley on January 12, while next month also brings two pivotal Champions League contests in Marseille [January 21] and at home to Qarabag [January 28].

'A touch of anger around Isak injury, but Slot not short of forward options'

Analysis from Sky Sports News' Vinny O'Connor:

There isn't just disappointment that Alexander Isak is out for a couple of months; at least, there's a frustration, an anger even at the way it happened.

Arne Slot certainly couldn't hide his feelings over Mickey van de Ven's challenge when he described Xavi Simons' red card offence as a tackle that he doesn't think you will ever get an injury from.

As for Van de Ven: "If you make that tackle 10 times, I think 10 times there is a serious chance that a player gets a serious injury", was Slot's verdict.

The hope is that Isak will still have an important part to play at the back end of the season following the latest setback in the stop-start beginning to his Liverpool career.

Slot knew it would take time for him to get up to speed which is why, according to his manager, "he's so unlucky that he's now injured, because I think we all saw with this goal and his goal against West Ham that he gets closer and closer to the player he was last season at Newcastle".

Whether the Isak situation underlines the need to keep Mo Salah, or impact activity in the transfer window, Slot was not going to go there.

His focus is on the players he has to work with, and he's not too short of forward options.

Hugo Ekitike has five goals in his last three Premier League games and continues to work hard at developing the physique to help him cope even better with the rigours of the Premier League.

Ekitike will certainly shoulder most of the burden as the focal point of Liverpool's attack in Isak's absence. Cody Gakpo can also fill in, as can Federico Chiesa and Salah when he's back from the Africa Cup of Nations.

At this point, however, we aren't expecting Harvey Elliott to return to supplement the wide options. For the second time in a week, Arne Slot made the point that questions on Elliott's immediate future are for Aston Villa.

Liverpool's next five fixtures

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