Fantasy Football Fix

Top 5 FPL Differentials for Gameweek 11

Want to get ahead in your Fantasy Premier League (FPL) mini-leagues? You’re in the right place! We've gathered the top 5 differential picks for Gameweek 11, each owned by less than 10% of managers. These under-the-radar players could be your ticket to rising up the ranks and catching your rivals off guard.

Selection Rules

Before we dive into our picks, here are the selection rules we followed:

All players are currently under 10% ownership

Now, let's explore these potential game-changers for your FPL team.

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Heung-Min Son (Tottenham Hotspur)

Position: Midfielder

Cost: £9.9m

Projected GW11 Points: 7.3

Son has been in impressive form this season, amassing 45 points with 3 goals and 3 assists. His expected goals (xG) of 1.38 suggests he’s outperforming expectations, though the South Korean is known for consistently exceeding his underlying stats due to his elite finishing skills. His 5 big chances created also highlight his creative influence on the pitch.

According to the Opta Heatmaps tool, Son has attempted 18 assists this season. Only Kulusevski, with 27, and Maddison, with 19, have attempted more, though both have played significantly more minutes.

Spurs face Ipswich at home in Gameweek 11, but managers should be cautious of their midweek Europa League fixture against Galatasaray before making early transfers.

Jarrod Bowen (West Ham United)

Position: Midfielder

Cost: £7.5m

Projected GW11 Points: 4.7

Bowen has been West Ham's standout performer this season, accumulating 47 points with 3 goals and 3 assists. His underlying stats suggest his performance is sustainable, with an xG of 2.14 and expected assists (xA) of 2.96.

The Match Centre feature highlights his talismanic influence for West Ham, where he leads the team in goals (2) and attempted assists (12), and ranks second for xG (1.5) and shots on target (5) over the last five games. The Hammers host Everton in Gameweek 11, providing an excellent opportunity for further returns.

Matheus Cunha (Wolverhampton Wanderers)

Position: Forward

Cost: £6.7m

Projected GW11 Points: 4.4

Cunha has been a revelation, scoring 4 goals and providing 1 assist for a total of 47 points, despite a challenging set of opening fixtures. Leading this differential selection with 8 big chances created, his xG of 2.41 and xA of 3.42 suggest more returns are likely.

Wolves face Southampton at home in Gameweek 11, a team with the league's second-highest expected goals conceded (22.68), according to the Opta Stats Sandbox tool—indicating they may be fortunate to have conceded only 19 goals so far. This begins a favourable run of fixtures, making Cunha an appealing longer-term option.

Destiny Udogie (Tottenham Hotspur)

Position: Defender

Cost: £4.9m

Projected GW11 Points: 3.8

Udogie has shown strong attacking potential, with 1 assist and an expected assists (xA) of 0.95.

The Italian left-back frequently gets into advanced positions, as shown by his Opta Heatmap, completing 130 successful passes in the opposition’s final third and recording 32 touches in the opposition's box.

The upcoming home fixture against Ipswich in Gameweek 11 offers potential returns at both ends of the pitch, with Ipswich conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game this season.

Matthijs de Ligt (Manchester United)

Position: Defender

Cost: £5.0m

Projected GW11 Points: 3.7

De Ligt has delivered 2 clean sheets and a goal this season, amassing 29 points. His xG of 0.76 signals a set-piece threat, with the most shots on target (5) of any Manchester United defender, and United's defensive metrics are showing improvement.

A home fixture against Leicester in Gameweek 11 offers clean sheet potential, and with Ipswich away and Everton at home following that, United ranks top for projected clean sheets over the next three gameweeks, according to the Predicted Points & Stats tool.

FPL Differentials Conclusion

Remember, these differentials could provide significant rank gains, but as with all FPL decisions, consider your team's overall structure and long-term planning when making transfers.

Spurs Fantasy Premier League Assets: Is Now the Time to Invest in Tottenham?

As the Premier League season unfolds, Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers are on the lookout for the next big points haul. With Tottenham Hotspur's recent performances catching the eye, many are wondering if now is the time to bring Spurs players into their FPL teams.

This article delves into Tottenham's current form, upcoming fixtures, and standout players to help you decide whether investing in Spurs assets could give your FPL team the edge in the coming gameweeks.

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Tottenham's Impressive Start

Tottenham Hotspur have had a mixed start to the season, with three wins, one draw, and two losses. Despite this, they’ve demonstrated strong attacking potential and the possibility of earning defensive FPL returns.

The North London side has scored 12 goals, trailing only Chelsea (15) and Manchester City (14), but slightly underperforming their expected goals (xG) of 14.11. This indicates they’ve been creating quality chances and could score even more in the coming weeks.

Spurs also lead the league with 45 shots on target, and only Manchester City (115) have attempted more total shots than Spurs (110), according to the Opta Stats Sandbox tool.

Defensive Resilience

Defensively, Spurs have been solid, conceding just 5 goals — the second-best in the league, behind only Liverpool, who have allowed 2.

Their expected goals conceded (xGC) of 5.11 is the best in the league, according to the Opta Stats Sandbox. It's worth noting that the match against Manchester United, where the Red Devils played with 10 men, slightly boosted this stat, as they managed just 0.63 xG, as shown in the Match Centre feature.

Excluding the Man United game, Spurs have an expected clean sheets (xCS) of 2.10 between Gameweeks 1 and 5, just behind Liverpool’s 2.20. These stats suggest that Tottenham’s defensive assets could be valuable for your FPL team.

Favourable Fixtures Ahead

Looking at Tottenham's upcoming fixtures, FPL managers have reason to be very interested.

Tottenham’s next five fixtures — Brighton (A), West Ham (H), Crystal Palace (A), Aston Villa (H), and Ipswich (H) — rank them second in the Fixture Planner tool for attacking difficulty. This favourable run presents a great opportunity for their players to accumulate FPL points.

Top Performers: Son Shines Bright

Son Heung-min: The Korean Dynamo

Son Heung-min has been Tottenham's standout performer, accumulating 33 FPL points despite missing the Manchester United game due to injury.

He has averaged an impressive 9.3 points per home game this season, as shown in the Opta Player Heatmaps tool. This makes him an attractive option for managers, especially with home fixtures against West Ham in Gameweek 8 and Ipswich in Gameweek 11.

The Korean star has scored twice and provided two assists so far. His underlying stats are equally impressive, with 4 big chances created and 14 attempted assists, suggesting even greater potential for future returns.

Brennan Johnson: The Surprise Package

Brennan Johnson has been a revelation, earning 29 FPL points so far. The young midfielder has matched Son’s output with 2 goals and 2 assists.

Johnson has taken 18 shots, the most of any Spurs player, with Solanke second at 13, as shown in the Opta Heatmaps tool. His 6 shots on target and an expected goals (xG) of 2.35 highlight his consistent presence in dangerous positions, justifying his goal returns.

James Maddison: The Creative Spark

James Maddison has made an impressive start this season, earning 29 FPL points after a stop-start 2023/24 campaign. With 1 goal and 3 assists, his creative influence is evident. Maddison's 7 shots on target, 3 big chances created, and 13 attempted assists showcase his all-round attacking threat and potential for more FPL returns.

Maddison’s ownership among top FPL managers is relatively low, as highlighted by the FPL Plus Chrome extension. However, with his impressive stats, could we see a significant rise in his ownership over the coming gameweeks? His performances suggest that more managers may soon take notice.

Future Prospects: Predicted Points

Using the Predicted Points & Stats tool, Son Heung-min is forecasted to lead the pack in FPL points over the next five gameweeks.

With projected scores of 4.5, 6.2, 4.5, 5.4, and 7.1 points, Son could be a key differential for FPL managers, assuming he is fit to play. Only five players are predicted to score more points during this period, making him a strong option to consider.

Dominic Solanke, shown using the FPL Plus extension, and Brennan Johnson follow closely behind, both offering excellent value in the mid-price range.

Solanke's consistent projections (3.6, 4.6, 3.6, 4.5, 4.5) make him a reliable option, while Johnson's potential for explosive returns (3.4, 4.4, 3.5, 4.0, 4.7) could be tempting for those looking to climb the ranks.

Conclusion: Time to Invest in Spurs?

Given Tottenham's strong start, favourable fixtures, and the form of their key players, now could indeed be the perfect time to invest in Spurs assets. Whether you opt for the consistent brilliance of Son, the value offered by Johnson, or the creative influence of Maddison, Tottenham players could provide the edge your FPL team needs in the coming weeks.

Remember, as always in FPL, timing is everything. With Spurs firing on all cylinders and a kind run of fixtures ahead, the time to act could be now. Don't miss out on the potential points haul from these in-form Tottenham stars!