The Analyst

Bournemouth‘s meeting with Spurs on Thursday night should provide great entertainment based on both sides’ playing styles. High-intensity football mixed with goals? Yes please. We’re here for the chaos potential.

Across 26 Premier League matches involving Tottenham or Bournemouth this season, there have been 81 goals scored. With an average of more than three goals per game when these sides play, entertainment is a guarantee. But some of the underlying data might offer even more insight into why this game will be a must-watch.

Thursday night’s meeting may seem like a run-of-the-mill fixture between two sides separated in the table by just two points, but the high-intensity pressing style of both clubs in 2024-25 means it is one to keep a close eye on.

Both Spurs and Bournemouth like to win the ball high up the pitch, and have done so effectively this season. This is nothing new with either side since their respective managers, Ange Postecoglou and Andoni Iraola, took over last year, and this season their pressing strategies have continued to be effective.

Heading into MD 14, Tottenham have regained possession close to the opposition goal more often than any other side in the Premier League this season. Their tally of 133 high turnovers – the number of possessions that start in open play and begin 40 metres or less from the opponent’s goal – is a league high. Their per-game average of 10.2 is just below last season (10.4), where they only trailed league-winners Manchester City (11.0).

The metric PPDA is useful when trying to gauge the pressing intensity of a team. It tells us the number of opposition passes the pressing team allow before making a defensive action to win the ball back. The lower a side’s PPDA, the more aggressively they press.

Tottenham lead the PPDA ranking in the Premier League in 2024-25, with a league-low 8.6 – that’s a shade lower than last season, when they also topped the league ranking (8.8).

Bournemouth, like last season, are among the top seven sides for this metric in the Premier League (11.2 this season, 10.7 in 2023-24).

Iraola’s side rank fourth in the league for high turnovers across the opening 13 matchdays (114), but no side has tallied more shots from these situations than them (25 – level with Liverpool).

Spurs themselves rank third in this metric both this season (21) and since the start of last season (91), while they and Bournemouth are two of only six teams in the division to have reached double figures for goals following a high turnover since the start of 2023-24 (Spurs 12, Bournemouth 10).

In short, Spurs are the most adept Premier League team at winning the ball back from opponents in the middle and attacking thirds of the pitch. Bournemouth aren’t quite as good as Spurs at doing this overall, but make the most out of these situations by turning their turnovers into shots.

Tottenham (911) have applied the most pressures to opponents in the final third in the Premier League this season, while Bournemouth are second (831). Even when they give the ball away, these two sides work hard to win it back within seconds.

Looking at counter pressures, where the team makes a pressure within two seconds of losing the ball, Spurs (801 total, 378 in final third) and Bournemouth (788 in total, 345 in final third) rank first and second coming into this matchday.

Meanwhile, only Man City (40%) have made a higher proportion of their pressures in the final third this season than Spurs (37%).

Assessing the running data for both sides, it’s again Tottenham and Bournemouth that lead the way. No teams have made more sprints than Spurs (2,326) or the Cherries (2,186) across the opening 13 matchdays of 2024-25, while only Brighton (1,457 km) separate Bournemouth (1,459 km) and Tottenham (1,453 km) in the top three positions for total distance covered.

More specifically focusing on their off-the-ball running, Spurs players have made the most intense runs to try and receive a pass or create space than any other team (2,258). Bournemouth rank third (1,973), behind only Spurs and Liverpool (1,984).

Players to Impress with the Press

Dominic Solanke was a key component in Bournemouth’s high press last season before he made the summer move to Spurs. Of course, his 19 league goals were a major factor in Tottenham spending a reported club-record £55 million fee on the English striker, but his out-of-possession work was also something that Postecoglou knew would strengthen his side in 2024-25. He’s been proved right.

Solanke ranked higher than every other player in the Premier League last season for pressures made (1,242), pressures in the final third (703) and pressures in the final third resulting in a turnover (142).

Overall, last season Spurs made more pressures in the final third (2,935) and pressures in the final third resulting in a turnover (591) than any other team in the division, while on an individual player level, only Solanke was ahead of Son Heung-min in both of those metrics (639 and 130).

So far this season, Solanke once again leads the Premier League rankings for pressures (489) and pressures in the final third (255) and those in the final third that end in a turnover of possession (60). And he has missed three of Tottenham’s 13 games through injury or illness.

Bournemouth may not have found a direct replacement for Solanke’s out-of-possession work, but they’ve become a better collective pressing unit.

Only Spurs (156) have had more final third pressures lead to a turnover of possession than Iraola’s side (139) in the Premier League so far. With four of their players managing 19+ of these in Marcus Tavernier (26), Evanilson (23), Justin Kluivert (20) and Antoine Semenyo (19), no club has as many players in the top 30 ranking for this metric as Bournemouth do (4).

Semenyo has been the biggest beneficiary of Bournemouth’s out-of-possession work, attempting 11 of their shots following a high turnover this season, which is two more than any other player in the league heading into MD 14. Evanilson has also attempted seven in these situations, which is the fourth most behind Semenyo, Ollie Watkins (9) and Matheus Cunha (9).

Expect to see plenty of overlapping runs at the Vitality Stadium on Thursday night, too. No player has made more overlaps than Bournemouth’s Milos Kerkez before this midweek round of fixtures (100), while Spurs’ Destiny Udogie (87) ranks second. Dejan Kulusevski (79) ranks fifth in this metric but stands alone for players that don’t play full-back – Arsenal’s Kai Havertz (52 – 27 fewer than Kulusevski) ranks the next highest excluding those players.

Spurs got the better of Bournemouth in both Premier League meetings last season, but the Cherries have already enjoyed impressive home wins over Arsenal and Man City in 2024-25. After their victory at Wolves on Saturday, this game gives them the chance to secure back-to-back wins in the league for the first time since April.

Tottenham haven’t played out the same result in any of their last eight Premier League games, flitting between wins and defeats across seven matchdays before drawing 1-1 at home to Fulham on Saturday afternoon.

With the erratic form of both sides coupled with the high-intensity performances by Spurs and Bournemouth, Thursday night’s game should be chaotic… in a good way.

How can a team follow up a home loss to a promoted side with a 4-0 mauling of the champions? Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham are the Premier League’s most confusing team.

Tottenham have long been capable of springing a surprise. The problem is, it’s not always the type of surprise that will please their fans.

Already this season, Ange Postecoglou’s side have handed two winless sides – Crystal Palace and newly promoted Ipswich Town – their first victories of the season, and have thrown away a two-goal half-time lead to inexplicably lose 3-2 at Brighton.

They have also dropped points at another promoted side in Leicester and very nearly crashed out of the EFL Cup at the earliest possible stage to second-tier opposition. Some sections of the fanbase have grown tired of Postecoglou and are already calling for his head.

There have also been some good surprises, though. They won 3-0 at Manchester United without their captain and best attacker, Son Heung-min, thrashed an Aston Villa side who pipped them to fourth place last season, and have won the third most points from losing positions (nine) of all Premier League teams this term.

But Saturday brought the biggest shock of the lot. Spurs ran riot at Manchester City, winning 4-0 against the team who have set a record for the most consecutive top-flight titles in men’s football in England, with an unprecedented four in a row.

The list of remarkable statistics this match threw up was a long one, showing just how sensational the result was.

It was the joint-biggest loss of Pep Guardiola’s managerial career (his fourth four-goal defeat), and his biggest in a league game on home soil. The result extended the longest losing streak of his career to five games, and meant City are now on their worst run of consecutive losses since 2006, when Stuart Pearce was their manager and the club was a rather different place. They are the first reigning English top-flight champions to lose five competitive games in a row since Chelsea in March 1956.

The defeat was also City’s first in 52 home games in all competitions, meaning an end to the longest unbeaten run on home soil in the club’s history.

This was just the third time in Premier League history that a team has beaten a reigning champion by four or more goals away from home, after Man Utd 1-6 Man City in 2011 and Leicester 1-6 Tottenham in May 2017. James Maddison scored the earliest ever brace away from home against the reigning champions (20th minute).

Perhaps most telling of all, though – at least from Tottenham’s perspective – this was only the second time ever that a team has followed up a home defeat against a promoted side with an away win against the reigning champions (also Liverpool in December 2000 – 0-1 vs Ipswich and 1-0 vs Man Utd). This was the first time anyone had done so while beating the champions by more than one goal.

It was a truly incredible win. One of the most seismic in recent Premier League history. But while Tottenham should unquestionably enjoy this victory, there will understandably be frustrations at the team’s wild inconsistency. Had they beaten Ipswich rather than lost, or held on to a lead they looked totally in control of at Brighton, Tottenham would be third in the table, a point off City, and, if not actually in the title race, certainly worthy of being in the conversation.

So, are Tottenham on the verge of something great under Postecoglou? Or are they too inconsistent, and far more likely to slip up in their upcoming games against mid-table Fulham and Bournemouth?

Many of their numbers show just how good a team they can be, ranking top of the Premier League in 2024-25 in a few key metrics. They are the league’s top scorers, with 27 goals, while they are also first for non-penalty expected goals, with 24.2 xG. Their overperformance compared to their xG of 2.8 is hardly massive (and 1.5 of it came against City this weekend when they scored four goals from 2.5 xG), suggesting their impressive goalscoring rate might just be sustainable.

Spurs have also scored at least four more goals from fast breaks (nine) than any other team, and have had more shots from such situations than everyone else (25). They also lead the Premier League this season for pressures in the final third (959), pressures in the final third resulting in a turnover (158) and total regains in the final third (80).

They are in the top two or three teams in plenty of other areas, further showing how consistent they are across the board. They rank second in the Premier League in 2024-25 for possession (59.9%), shots (198), successful passes in the opposition half (2,828), touches in the opposition box (455), and field tilt (64.6%) – which measures territorial dominance by comparing a team’s share of possession in the attacking third with their opponent’s possession at the opposite end of the pitch.

Meanwhile, Spurs are currently third for shots on target (76), passing accuracy (86.3%), high turnovers (winning the ball within 40m of the opposition’s goal line) that lead to a shot (20), and successful open-play crosses (44).

There is clearly plenty to be cheery about at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. But it’s also worth remembering that in the actual league table, Tottenham were 10th before the weekend, and even after battering City, they’re still only sixth. They have only won half of their league games, and have lost almost as many (five). They have as many defeats as half of the teams currently in the bottom half of the table.

So, what exactly is going on? How can a team be bad enough to lose at home to Ipswich one week and good enough to thrash one of the greatest teams in modern football history the next (albeit at a time when they are more than a little out of sorts)?

For all of their strength in attack, the defence remains a serious problem. They only rank seventh for expected goals against (15.3 xG), while the average xG value of every shot they face is the fifth-highest in the Premier League, at 0.12 xG per shot. They don’t concede tonnes of chances, but they tend to allow their opponents at least one very good one in every single match. And that’s a real problem.

The second thing to note is how clear it is that Tottenham are struggling with their busy schedule this season. They played only 41 games in the whole of 2023-24, dumped out of both cup competitions early on and without European competition to contend with. This term, they will play at least 50 games in total and that number is likely to be nearer 60 than 50 come May.

Their three most disappointing results of the season – the losses to Brighton, Palace and Ipswich – have all come on a Sunday after a Europa League game on Thursday. Postecoglou has rotated heavily in Europe, so it can’t just be fatigue that’s an issue, but Spurs’ players might be struggling with only a couple of days to focus solely on the weekend’s game and prepare to face Premier League opposition.

Individual players are also struggling with the workload. Only seven players have been able to play a part in all 12 of the league fixtures so far this season, and only three – Guglielmo Vicario, Destiny Udogie and Pedro Porro – have started all 12. They are yet to suffer a full-blown injury crisis like last season, but many of their most important players have already missed at least a couple of games.

Tottenham are absolutely desperate to end a trophy drought that will have reached 17 years by the time the next available cup final rolls around, so there are very few games in which they can afford to be off their best. The expanded Europa League means there is slightly more wiggle room in that competition, but having insisted in a recent press conference that he “always wins a trophy in his second season”, Postecoglou can’t take too many chances. As the season goes on, there’ll be fewer and fewer chances to rotate.

A few underwhelming performances have suggested he can’t mix things up too much. Spurs needed rescuing by first-teamers late on in the EFL Cup tie at Coventry, while they were far from their best in beating AZ Alkmaar 1-0 – through a Richarlison penalty – last month. The decision to play 17-year-old Mikey Moore on the wing at Selhurst Park with a few other key players absent days later didn’t exactly work out in the 1-0 loss to Palace.

But in the main, Tottenham’s squad players have done what has been asked of them, and stepped up when they’ve needed to.

Timo Werner has proved a very useful squad member, Radu Dragusin has done well since coming into the first team to replace the injured Micky van de Ven, and Ben Davies was genuinely brilliant on his first Premier League start of the season at the Etihad on Saturday. The squad is starting to prove just how deep it is.

And it is undoubtedly a positive that they aren’t too reliant on an individual for goals, which could have been a criticism of them during the Harry Kane days. Tottenham are instead sharing the load throughout the team. Their joint-top scorers only have five goals each (James Maddison and Brennan Johnson), putting them outside the league’s overall top 10, while only Brighton (11) have more different goalscorers in the top flight this season than Spurs (nine).

So, will Tottenham, now given a 0.15% chance of winning the title by the Opta supercomputer (up from zero before the weekend), build on this scarcely believable result, and go on a run that makes people ask whether they could actually compete for major honours, if not this season then next, under Postecoglou?

Or, will Spurs do the most Spursy thing possible, let their momentum dissipate away, and pass up on what appears to be a huge opportunity to establish their place in the top-four battle?

Well, this is the beauty and the madness of Tottenham Hotspur: whatever you think might happen, you should prepare to be surprised.

Tottenham stunned Man City with a 4-0 win at the Etihad Stadium, controlling the game from start to finish. Look back at the key moments from the Premier League clash with our Manchester City vs Tottenham stats page.

Manchester City suffered a demoralising 4-0 defeat at home to Tottenham Hotspur, ending their 52-game unbeaten home run across all competitions. City hadn’t lost at the Etihad since a 2-1 defeat to Brentford on 12 November 2022, but a James Maddison brace and a further strike from Pedro Porro ended that incredible run.

Maddison opened the scoring on 13 minutes, firing home from Dejan Kulusevski’s exceptional cross, before adding another seven minutes later. His second strike was even sweeter, lifting the ball over Ederson in the Man City goal after great work from Son Heung-Min.

Maddison was celebrating his 28th birthday, but fell one goal short of becoming just the third player in Premier League history to score a hat-trick on their birthday.

Back in January 2023, Spurs held a 2-0 half-time lead over City at the Etihad before eventually losing 4-2. Seven minutes into the second half, Ange Postecoglou’s side ensured that lightning didn’t strike in the same place twice.

Porro’s 52nd-minute goal came after a slick Tottenham move, with the Portuguese receiving a pass from Dominic Solanke before powering a shot past Ederson. Porro has now scored more Premier League goals than any other defender since his debut in the competition in February 2023 (8).

An injury-time goal from Brennan Johnson put the icing on the cake, and gave Guardiola the biggest thrashing in a home league game across his entire managerial career. The only other time that he’s lost a home game by four or more goals was in the UEFA Champions League back in April 2014, when Real Madrid beat his Bayern side 4-0 in Munich.

Spurs enjoyed a 3-0 win at Old Trafford against Manchester United back in September, and after this four-goal thrashing at the Etihad, they have become only the second team to beat both Man Utd and Man City away by a margin of 3+ goals in the same season since Everton in 1992-93.

For Man City, that’s now five consecutive defeats in all competitions – the worst run in Pep Guardiola’s managerial career. City last lost more consecutively between March and April 2006 under Stuart Pearce (6 in a row – the fifth game of which was also against Tottenham).

They now sit five points behind leaders Liverpool, with the Reds looking to extend that lead to eight points against Southampton on Sunday.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Manchester City vs Tottenham stats from their Premier League meeting.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Manchester City vs Tottenham: Post-Match Facts

Pep Guardiola lost a home game by four goals for just the second time in his managerial career (also 0-4 vs Real Madrid in April 2014 with Bayern) with this Manchester City’s heaviest home defeat in any competition since February 2003 (1-5 vs Arsenal at Maine Road).

Guardiola lost to Tottenham for the ninth time as a manager in all competitions, now the outright most defeats he has suffered against an opponent in his managerial career.

Man City are the first reigning English top-flight champions to lose five games in a row in all competitions since Chelsea in March 1956.

This was just the third time a team has won away against the reigning Premier League champions by 4+ goals, with Spurs responsible for two of those (also Man Utd 1-6 Man City in 2011, and Leicester 1-6 Tottenham in May 2017).

For the second time in three weeks, Tottenham were beaten by a team previously without a league win this season. Re-live Sunday’s action with the best facts and Opta data in our Tottenham vs Ipswich stats page.

Ipswich Town earned their first win of the season with a surprise 2-1 victory at Tottenham on Sunday, meaning every team in the Premier League has now recorded at least one win in 2024-25.

Sam Szmodics and Liam Delap gave Ipswich a 2-0 lead at the break, and though Rodrigo Bentancur pulled one back for Spurs with just over 20 minutes remaining, Kieran McKenna’s side held on for a famous win.

In front of a watching Ed Sheeran, it was Ipswich’s first victory in the Premier League since a 1-0 win vs Middlesborough in April 2002, and their first away win in the competition since beating Everton 2-1 at Goodison Park in February 2002, ending a run of 12 away games in the competition without a win (D3 L9).

Tottenham have now gone 1-0 down in 13 home Premier League matches in 2024. Only Spurs themselves in 1994 (14), Ipswich in 1994 (14) and Crystal Palace in 2017 (14) have done so in more home games in a single calendar year in the competition.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Tottenham vs Ipswich Town stats from their Premier League meeting at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Tottenham vs Ipswich: Post-Match Facts

Liam Delap has scored 50% of Ipswich Town’s goals in the Premier League this season (6/12), with only Erling Haaland (55% – 12/22) and Chris Wood (53% – 8/15) contributing more to their teams’ overall goal tally in the competition this term.

Since the start of last season, Sam Szmodics has scored 31 league goals across his spells with Blackburn Rovers and now Ipswich, with only Haaland (39) scoring more than him across England’s top four tiers.

After failing to provide an assist in 27 consecutive matches across all competitions between January and November, Pedro Porro has now provided an assist in back-to-back matches for Spurs (v Galatasaray & Ipswich). It’s the first time the Spaniard has assisted in consecutive matches since December 2023.

Goals from Dominic Solanke (2), Brennan Johnson and James Maddison saw Spurs stage a brilliant second-half comeback to seal all three points in this Premier League clash. Look back at the match at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with our Tottenham vs Aston Villa stats page.

Dominic Solanke scored twice to give Tottenham Hotspur all three points in this clash with Aston Villa. Spurs were 1-0 down at half-time, but a sensational second-half comeback thanks to a goal from Brennan Johnson, Solanke’s brace and an injury-time James Maddison free-kick sealed the win.

Morgan Rogers had fired home the opening goal of the game from close range just after the half-hour mark, capitalising on some sloppy Tottenham defending from a corner. After the corner beat a group of players on the near post, Spurs’ goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario could only parry the ball out for Rogers, who made no mistake and scored in a third successive Premier League away appearance.

Johnson’s 49th-minute strike levelled the scores, as the former Nottingham Forest winger netted his fourth of the season in the Premier League – just one off his tally from the entire 2023-24 campaign (5).

Solanke came into this match with two goals in seven league appearances for Ange Postecoglou’s side following his transfer from Bournemouth in the summer. He doubled that tally with his two second-half strikes in the space of four minutes and 21 seconds to give Spurs an important victory.

Solanke is now the first player to score at least four goals across their first eight Premier League appearances for Tottenham since Rafael van der Vaart in 2010-11.

Maddison topped off an excellent afternoon for Spurs with a direct free-kick goal in added time, his first from a free-kick in the Premier League since October 2022.

Had they lost this match, Spurs would have found themselves six points behind the top four in the Premier League table already, but thanks to their comeback they now move up to seventh and are only two points behind rivals Arsenal.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Tottenham vs Aston Villa stats from Sunday’s Premier League meeting in London.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own post-match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the best official Opta stats on the game as well.

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Stats: Post-Match Facts

Since the start of last season, Tottenham Hotspur have gone on to win 10 Premier League matches in which they conceded the first goal; the joint-most of any team in the competition along with Manchester City, while winning three of their last four in which they’ve gone 0-1 down.

Dominic Solanke has now scored more goals against Aston Villa under Unai Emery in the Premier League than any other player, netting four goals in four appearances against them.

After scoring just five goals in his first 36 Premier League appearances for Tottenham Hotspur, Brennan Johnson has now netted four goals for the club in his last six league appearances.

Spurs’ James Maddison netted the 50th goal of his Premier League career, with what was his ninth goal from a direct free kick in the competition. Since debuting in the top-flight in 2018-19, only James Ward-Prowse (15) has netted more times from a direct free kick than Maddison (9).

We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with our Tottenham vs Aston Villa prediction and preview. It promises to be an enthralling clash.

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Stats: The Key Insights

The Opta supercomputer makes Tottenham the favourites, with a 47.2% win likelihood.

That’s despite Spurs having lost three of their last four league meetings with Aston Villa.

However, they did win 4-0 in their last such fixture against Villa in March.

Two defeats in the space of three Premier League matches for Spurs have left them in eighth, five points off the top four heading into the weekend. However, they come into Sunday’s meeting with Villa having defeated Manchester City 2-1 in the EFL Cup.

Villa, who top the UEFA Champions League standings with three wins from as many matches in that competition, occupy fourth spot in the top flight as it stands and their only defeat in the league this term came back in August against Arsenal.

And though Opta’s model forecasts a Spurs win, it should be noted that Unai Emery’s team have won nine of their 13 away Premier League games in London under the Spaniard (D3 L1). That 69% win ratio is the best by a manager at a single club in away games in London in Premier League history (min. 10 games).

Only Liverpool (13) and Nottingham Forest (11) have claimed more away Premier League points this season than Villa (10 – W3 D1). Villa have only won as many as four of their opening five away league games in a season once before, doing so in 2020-21 (W4 L1).

Tottenham, on the other hand, have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 13 home Premier League matches in 2024.

However, they have come back to win seven of those games. The only team with more home wins when conceding first in a single year are Newcastle United in 2002 (eight).

That includes Spurs coming back from 1-0 down to beat West Ham 4-1 in their last league home match.

Tottenham have, though, lost nine of their last 16 Premier League games (W6 D1), with only Wolves (12) losing more since the first game in this run in April. Spurs had only lost seven of their first 31 games under Ange Postecoglou (W18 D6).

Only two of Tottenham’s last 71 home Premier League games, meanwhile, have ended as a draw (W47 L22) and they are the only side without a home draw since the start of last season (W16 L7). So, anticipate there to be a winner in this one.

You should expect some goals, though. Spurs have scored 49 times in 23 home Premier League games under Postecoglou. The only manager to hit 50 goals in 24 or fewer home games with Spurs is Antonio Conte (50 in first 20). Between them, these teams have already netted 34 goals in the league in 2024-25.

Having Son Heung-min back from injury could prove crucial for Spurs’ hopes. Son has been involved in nine goals in eight Premier League games against Villa (six goals, three assists), though all six of his goals against them have come at Villa Park. No player has scored more against an opponent without netting a home goal in the competition.

Villa, meanwhile, have been able to call on their bench options to great effect this season. Jhon Durán has been clinical as a substitute, and Ross Barkley came on to score in last week’s draw with Bournemouth.

In 2024, Villa have scored the most Premier League goals from subs (10) and have the most goals and assists combined from subs (10 goals, seven assists). It is the joint most sub goals they have scored in a single year, also netting 10 in 2023.

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head

Villa have won three of their last four Premier League away games against Tottenham (L1), including the last two in a row under Emery.

They last won three consecutive away league games against Spurs between 1922 and 1924.

Tottenham have lost three of their last four Premier League meetings with Villa overall, too, though did win the last such match 4-0 in March, with James Maddison, Brennan Johnson, Son and Timo Werner on target during a blistering second-half showing at Villa Park.

Spurs had only lost two of their previous 21 against the Villans (W16 D3).

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction

Despite their recent form against Villa, Tottenham are backed by Opta’s supercomputer, with their chances of victory coming in at 47.2%.

Villa won in 29.6% of the model’s simulations, while the probability of a draw is 23.2%.

Tottenham vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Two of England’s biggest clubs meet in the EFL Cup on Wednesday in what is arguably the tie of the round. Man City‘s domestic form gives them the edge with the Opta supercomputer, but is that justified? Learn more with our Tottenham vs Man City prediction.

Tottenham vs Man City Stats: The Key Insights

Man City are strong favourites with the Opta supercomputer, winning this game 56.7% of the time.

After failing to score in each of their first five away games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium between 2019 and 2023, Man City have won their last two there without conceding.

Tottenham have been eliminated in their last three League Cup ties against fellow Premier League sides. They went out to Chelsea in 2021-22, Nottingham Forest in 2022-23 and Fulham in 2023-24.

Tottenham welcome Premier League leaders Manchester City to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Wednesday as they go head-to-head in the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

This will be the first League Cup meeting between the teams since the 2021 final, won 1-0 by Man City at Wembley. Tottenham have won the other three games between the sides in the EFL Cup, however, in 1992 (1-0), 2003 (3-1) and 2007 (2-0).

These sides enjoyed/endured contrasting fortunes at the weekend. Spurs laboured away from home at Crystal Palace to lose 1-0. In a fairly lifeless display from the away side, Jean-Philippe Mateta’s first-half goal was enough to seal all three points for the Eagles.

It was yet another frustrating example of Tottenham’s inconsistency under Ange Postecoglou. Victories over West Ham and AZ Alkmaar have now been bookended by bad defeats against Brighton and Crystal Palace.

They currently sit ninth in the Premier League and are predicted to finish sixth. Winning the Europa League will be a priority for Spurs, but with just four fixtures to get through, the EFL Cup is arguably their best chance of winning a trophy this season.

Spurs almost didn’t get this far, though. Championship side Coventry City were minutes away from knocking them out in the third round. The Sky Blues were leading 1-0, before goals from Djed Spence and Brennan Johnson turned the game on its head.

Manchester City come into this game on the back of a five-game winning run in all competitions since their 1-1 draw with Newcastle. Their most recent opponents, Southampton, might have been fearing the worst when Erling Haaland scored his 11th league goal of the season at the weekend to open the scoring.

But despite taking 22 shots and generating almost three expected goals, Pep Guardiola’s men had to settle for a narrow win. Still, they remain overwhelming favourites to claim a record fifth consecutive Premier League title.

City have already gone one better than last year in the EFL Cup. They were dumped out in the third round in 2023-24 by Newcastle but eased past Watford in the third round thanks to goals from Jérémy Doku and Matheus Nunes.

In team news, Kevin De Bruyne, Jack Grealish and Doku will all miss out for City. Son Heung-min, who was absent for Spurs’ defeat against Palace at the weekend, has not recovered in time to feature here.

Tottenham vs Manchester City Prediction

Man City’s domestic form makes them strong favourites to win this game with the the Opta supercomputer.

You have to go back to the FA Cup final last year to find the last time they lost a competitive game. They’ve also got the better of Spurs of late and have won their last two games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium without conceding.

Those factors see the model give them a 56.7% chance of winning the game in 90 minutes. Spurs have a 21.5% of progressing, while the draw – which would send the game to penalties – occurs in 21.8% of simulations.

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off on Wednesday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for each side.

Ange Postecoglou’s side came from a goal down to win comfortably against their London rivals. Check out the best facts and Opta data in our Tottenham vs West Ham stats page.

Tottenham brushed off the memories of their agonising 3-2 defeat at Brighton last time out as they came from behind to ease to a 4-1 win over West Ham on Saturday.

Mohammed Kudus gave the visitors the lead in the 18th minute, only for Dejan Kulusevski to equalise when his shot hit both posts and crossed the line nine minutes before the break at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Three goals in eight minutes leading up to the hour mark killed the game as Yves Bissouma, an Alphonse Areola own goal and Son Heung-min put things to bed.

Kudus made it an even worse afternoon for Julen Lopetegui’s men as he was sent off for raising his hands into the faces of both Micky van de Ven and Pape Sarr with four minutes remaining.

It was West Ham’s heaviest Premier League defeat after scoring the opening goal since January 2013, when they were beaten 5-1 at Arsenal.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Tottenham vs West Ham stats from their Premier League meeting at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own in-game and post-match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Tottenham vs West Ham: Post-Match Facts

Since the start of last season, Tottenham have won eight of the 12 home Premier League games in which they have conceded first (L4) – this is at least twice as many home wins after falling 1-0 behind as any other side in the competition in this time.

Tottenham have kept just one clean sheet across their last 19 home Premier League games (a 4-0 victory over Everton in August), while Spurs’ one clean sheet on home soil in 2024 is the joint-fewest shutouts among ever-present sides in the competition (alongside Nottingham Forest, West Ham and Wolves).

Since the start of last season, only Sheffield United (seven) have conceded more own goals in the Premier League than West Ham (five), while Tottenham have benefitted from more own goals than any other side in the competition across that period (seven).

Mohammed Kudus became the first West Ham player to both score and receive a red card in a Premier League match since Nayef Aguerd vs Chelsea in August 2023, while he is just the sixth different Hammers player to have done so in the competition (eight occasions).

Tottenham are the favourites against West Ham in the eyes of the Opta supercomputer. Will Ange Postecoglou’s side respond to their latest Premier League setback? We analyse that question in our Tottenham vs West Ham prediction and preview.

Tottenham vs West Ham Stats: The Key Insights

The Opta supercomputer predicts Tottenham to come out on top, with the hosts triumphant in 55.4% of pre-match simulations.

West Ham have not defeated Spurs in back-to-back league visits since 1966.

Brennan Johnson has scored in each of his last six games for Tottenham.

Ange Postecoglou will desperately want to see a response from Tottenham when they host West Ham in Saturday’s early Premier League kick-off.

Spurs may have needed the international break to recover from their humiliation at Brighton last time out, throwing away a two-goal lead to lose 3-2 as Postecoglou fumed at the “worst defeat” of his tenure so far.

Some positives could have been taken before Georginio Rutter – helped by woeful Spurs defending – led an inspired turnaround for Fabian Hürzeler’s side, with Brennan Johnson again on target for Tottenham.

The Wales winger has scored in each of his last six games in all competitions for Spurs, a feat last achieved by Harry Kane, with those six goals one more than Johnson had previously managed in his 38 appearances for the club.

James Maddison also slipped an attempt fortuitously under Bart Verbruggen, marking his second goal in three league games. His next strike will be his 50th in the competition.

Yet for all of that first-half fluidity and attacking prowess, a comical collapse left Spurs ninth in the league table heading into the weekend, and that position may not improve here considering their form against fellow London clubs, especially given Son Heung-min is still a big injury doubt. He has missed the last three Spurs fixtures in all competitions, as well as South Korea’s matches during the international break.

Postecoglou’s men have lost four of their last six Premier League games against their capital-city rivals (W1 D1), as many as they head in their previous 16 (W9 D3).

In stark contrast, West Ham are unbeaten in their last three Premier League away London derbies (W1 D2), against Crystal Palace, Fulham and Brentford, their longest such run since a six-game stretch between January and December 1999.

That record may raise an eyebrow for some concerned West Ham supporters, with pressure seemingly mounting on Julen Lopetegui before their 4-1 hammering of Ipswich Town before the pause for international football.

Michail Antonio, Mohammed Kudus, Jarrod Bowen and Lucas Paquetá were all on target in the drubbing, though the challenge is now to build on that performance, having not managed back-to-back league victories since March.

Antonio needed less than a minute to find the net against Ipswich and will fancy his chances again on Saturday, with his six goals against Tottenham more than he’s scored against any other Premier League opponent. Five of those six goals have been the first of the match, with only Ryan Giggs scoring the opener more against Tottenham in Premier League history (6).

Lopetegui will be reliant on Antonio to lead the line, though Bowen’s impact should not be ignored. He has been involved in 33 open-play shot-ending sequences this campaign, more than any other West Ham player this term.

In the rout of Ipswich, Bowen also became the first West Ham player since Antonio – against Arsenal in March 2021 – to have 5+ shots and create 5+ chances in a single Premier League match.

Tottenham vs West Ham Head-to-Head

Postecoglou could hardly ask for a better fixture to get his side back on track, with Tottenham only managing more Premier League victories against Everton (31) and Manchester City (28) than their 26 over West Ham.

West Ham did come from behind to win this exact fixture 2-1 last season, however, as Bowen and James Ward-Prowse were on target after Cristian Romero’s early opener.

Spurs have not suffered back-to-back home defeats in the league against West Ham since doing so in April and November 1966, though, and another record could play in their favour on Saturday.

Tottenham and West Ham have faced off in seven Premier League meetings straight after the international break, with the Hammers failing to win any of those (L4 D3).

Tottenham vs West Ham Prediction

The Opta supercomputer struggles to see much other than a Tottenham win, with the hosts victorious in a dominant 55.4% of 10,000 pre-match simulations.

West Ham managed rare back-to-back wins over their London rivals in just 21.6% of the same data-led sims. The draw came in slightly more often at 23.0%.

Spurs’ collapse at Brighton saw their top-four chances drop to 15.4% in Opta’s end-of-season predictions, with West Ham ending the season in their current 12th position most often, doing so in 13.4% of simulations.

Tottenham vs West Ham Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

Despite being two goals behind at half-time, Brighton & Hove Albion defeated Tottenham Hotspur with a brilliant second-half comeback. Relive the match and analyse the Opta data with our Brighton vs Tottenham stats page.

Brighton staged a phenomenal second-half comeback, as they came from two goals down to win 3-2 after second-half goals from Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter and Danny Welbeck.

Brennan Johnson continued his excellent form of late with the opening goal of the match on 23 minutes before James Maddison added a second eight minutes before half-time.

Few would have expected Brighton to recover from a poor first half in which opponents Spurs dominated throughout, but three goals in the space of 18 second-half minutes secured an unlikely three points.

Welbeck’s match-winning strike saw him score for the fourth time in the Premier League this season, while it was his first against Spurs in the Premier League since January 2014 (for Manchester United), ending a run of 13 games against them in the competition without scoring.

Our Opta match centre delivers you all the Brighton vs Tottenham stats from their Premier League meeting at the American Express Stadium in Brighton.

The match centre below includes team and player stats, expected goals data, passing networks, an Opta chalkboard and more. It gives you everything you need to do your own in-game and post-match analysis.

Underneath the match centre you can find the official Opta stats on the game as well.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham Hotspur: Post-Match Facts

Tottenham Hotspur lost a Premier League game they led by 2+ goals in for just the second time in their last 166 such matches (W159 D5), also losing 4-2 away to Manchester City in January 2023 having also gone in 2-0 up at half-time.

This is the 10th time that Tottenham have lost a Premier League game in which they led by 2+ goals, the first club to hit double figures for this, and at least three more than any other side in the competition’s history.

Tottenham’s Brennan Johnson has scored in each of his last six appearances in all competitions, the first Spurs’ player to do so since Harry Kane between December 2018 and January 2019.

Johnson has now netted more goals in 10 appearances this season (6) than across 34 total outings for Spurs in 2023-24 (5).

Danny Welbeck scored his 27th Premier League for Brighton, but just his second winning goal for the Seagulls, also netting what proved to be the winning goal in a 2-1 victory over Leicester City in September 2021.